Quebec Municipal Elections 2013

[Poirot]

ECM now down to 35 seats leading, Coderre at only 35% now. Either way I'd expect Coderre to have a working or de jure council majority.

Hum? sudden change of %.

[Hatman 🍁]

So maybe it's a vote more for him than the party (or the mayor was too invisible during the campaign). Liberals will pull their hair since he is a péquiste apparently.

Pedneaud-Jobin? Oh dear.

[Poirot]

I've read in Le Droit provincial Liberals say they are not crazy about Bureau but Pedneau-Jobin is a péquiste (message = so don't vote for him) and I have not seen confirmation of this but he would be Bernard Landry son-in-law, but I don't know if it's a fact or false gossip, I've read it only once.

In Longueuil, I see only two independent leading so as expected almost sweep for Caroline Saint-Hilaire.

In Trois-Rivières incumbent Lévevesque was leading 51-30 over Tardif.

in Saint-Jean with 14% reporting, it's 26% Fecteau, 22% Bachand. 

[RogueBeaver]

Bureau defeated in Gatineau.

[MaxQue]

For some reason, Montreal City Council is so wierd right now.

DC 35, PM 13, CM 7, Indies 7, MJ 3 (in random places, the west of the downtown, the east of Pierrefonds-Roxboro and the borough mayorship of the Île-Bizard.)

[RogueBeaver]

Can Coderre team up with the borough parties for a working majority if it comes to that?

[MaxQue]

Can Coderre team up with the borough parties for a working majority if it comes to that?

I suppose, with some. I doubt they will behave as a block.

[Poirot]

There doesn't seem strong loyalty to party in city politics so switches could happen or if some are ex-Union Montréal they might be willing to work with them Coderre.

I think Bergeron lives near UQAM, so he might have run in the district where he lives (or very close to it). 

[MaxQue]

There doesn't seem strong loyalty to party in city politics so switches could happen or if some are ex-Union Montréal they might be willing to work with them Coderre.

I think Bergeron lives near UQAM, so he might have run in the district where he lives (or very close to it). 

He voted in the district where he ran, so I suppose he lives there.

[RogueBeaver]

Coderre now in a council minority.

[Poirot]

I decided to care about Saint-Jean so another update, Fecteau leads but with 25% of the vote. That is low for a winner if the winner gets that percentage. Bachand is at 21%. On council Fecteau and Legrand team in the lead with a couple others so might be no majority.

[MaxQue]

Coderre still decline in council.

DC 30, PM 19, Indies 8, CM 5, MJ 3

[Hatman 🍁]

Should I be happy with the result in Gatineau?

Action Gatineau looks like they're losing their Aylmer seat, and in Lucerne. But, they've gained elsewhere.

[Poirot]

In Laval Demers 40%, Gobé 28%, Le Bel and Bordeleau 12%.

In Quebec city, three opposition councillors still in lead (the two incumbents + Shoiry in Sillery)

[Poirot]

Should I be happy with the result in Gatineau?

Action Gatineau looks like they're losing their Aylmer seat, and in Lucerne. But, they've gained elsewhere.

I see Action Gatineau leading in 3 only. Strange they choose the leader but so few of the party and those incumbents lost.  The man in Aylmer was elected by 1 (on a different map) last time but he seems vocal because I have seen his name when I look at Le Droit online.

I don't know what is the reason for Pedneaud-Jobin and not the party. Could be style of leadership if the incumbent hides from media and debate and the other is very visible.

[MaxQue]

Should I be happy with the result in Gatineau?

Action Gatineau looks like they're losing their Aylmer seat, and in Lucerne. But, they've gained elsewhere.

I see Action Gatineau leading in 3 only. Strange they choose the leader but so few of the party and those incumbents lost.  The man in Aylmer was elected by 1 (on a different map) last time but he seems vocal because I have seen his name when I look at Le Droit online.

I don't know what is the reason for Pedneaud-Jobin and not the party. Could be style of leadership if the incumbent hides from media and debate and the other is very visible.

Or it might be like I noticed in Rouyn-Noranda in 2009. People don't care about the party label and vote as if there is none.

[MaxQue]

Montreal website has serious issues, it losts some boroughs.

EDIT: Came back.

[Poirot]

so based on individual choices.

Côté basically destroyed Vision Montreal, they lose all the Hochelaga-Maisonneuve districts but Ménard may still win borough mayor. Even Blanchard who was mayor is losing.

Jeremy Searle (independent) is in the lead in Loyola district with 21%.

For mayor of Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu, Fecteau leads with 23% over Bachand 21%.

[MaxQue]

29 DC, 20 PM, 8 Indies, 5 CM and 3 MJ, at Montreal, now.

[Poirot]

Projet is doing well in council seats, it is gaining from last election.

[MaxQue]

28 DC, 21 PM, 8 Indies, 5 CM and 3 MJ, at Montreal, now.

[MaxQue]

27 DC, 22 PM, 8 Indies, 5 CM and 3 MJ, at Montreal, now. Bergeron runningmate now leads in her seat.

[Poirot]

Is the drop in Coderre voting % from earlier because the first votes published were advanced voting. (older demographics, party organization getting out the vote early).

I think there are 7 councillors with local borough party, propably ex-Union people. With them Coderre has a majority. Don't know what is the relationship with them. I imagine if they didn't join  him they were not crazy about him.

[Poirot]

oh I see it, Bergeron leads with 1 box left. Even Harel lost, 

[MaxQue]

Is the drop in Coderre voting % from earlier because the first votes published were advanced voting. (older demographics, party organization getting out the vote early).

I think there are 7 councillors with local borough party, propably ex-Union people. With them Coderre has a majority. Don't know what is the relationship with them. I imagine if they didn't join  him they were not crazy about him.

I would assume you're right with the early voting and the drop in seats and %. Right with the 7 councillors being with Union before. The other is an indy in Loyola, Jeremy Searle. Wierd. Seems to be born in Bristol, UK and a repute for saying wierd things when he was a councillor. I wouldn't count on him for anything.

EDIT: Rogue might known better than me.