National Tracking Poll Thread

[J. J.]

The debate bounce is sweeping across the country. I invite my Romney-supporting friends to jump aboard the Obama Train before it's too late!

It is ship, not a train.  The RMS Titanic.

[Cliffy]

You think someone could post the PPP daily tracker? I haven't seen it yet. Lol, sorry guys.. I had to!

Did PPP have a daily tracker in 08?

[Cliffy]

Gravis National Romney 46-44
http://www.gravispolls.com/2012/10/romney-up-2-in-latest-national-poll.html

It's D+8 that should be popular.

[Eraserhead]

The debate bounce is sweeping across the country. I invite my Romney-supporting friends to jump aboard the Obama Train before it's too late!

State polling disagrees.

Well, Rasmussen's state polling disagrees anyway.

But then again, hasn't it felt like the state and national polling have been at odds over the entire course of this election? Hmm... maybe they'll finally meet in the middle.

[cinyc]

Gravis National Romney 46-44
http://www.gravispolls.com/2012/10/romney-up-2-in-latest-national-poll.html

It's D+8 that should be popular.

I don't think this is a tracking poll.  It looks like a one-day one-off survey that should be in its own thread.

[Lief 🗽]

Ah, Gravis is polling nationally now I see. Anything to keep Romney up in the RCP average.

[Eraserhead]

According to Gravis Marketing, Romney is getting 95% of Republicans but Obama is only getting 83% of Democrats.

[Marokai Backbeat]

According to Gravis Marketing, Romney is getting 95% of Republicans but Obama is only getting 83% of Democrats.

White flight continues!!!

[GMantis]

Rasmussen:

Romney:  49, +1

Obama:  48, (u)

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

RAND Poll
Obama 48.54% (-.28)
Romney 45.89% (+.23)

Looks like a pretty good Romney sample was picked up last Thurseday.

[J. J.]

RAND Poll
Obama 48.54% (-.28)
Romney 45.89% (+.23)

Looks like a pretty good Romney sample was picked up last Thurseday.

Rasmussen got on on Friday, according to their website. 

[Cliffy]

Not sure where to post this, looks like Romney is starting to separate a little.

Rasmussen Daily Presidential Swing State Tracking Poll

•Romney 50% (+1)

•Obama 46% (-1)

Obama Job Approval:

•Approve: 47% (-1)
•Disapprove: 53% (+2)

[Umengus]

PPP (Oct. 17-19)
Obama:  49 (+1)
Romney: 47 (nc)

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-expands-lead-to-2-points-in-tracking-poll.html

EDIT: Oops. Didn't see this above.

Party id: D +6

(when it was tied, it was D +4, when it was o +1, it was D+5. TODAY, Party identification is solid like gender, age in my opinion).

Romney lead Independents by 6. Steady lead.

[Cliffy]

Lol, our friends on here that say Party ID doesn't matter, ignore that these bastions of liberal polling keep having to increase their D samples to keep that firewall up for Obama.  Hope the lib voters get the memo they have to turnout accordingly.... wait I guess the polls are the memo

PPP (Oct. 17-19)
Obama:  49 (+1)
Romney: 47 (nc)

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-expands-lead-to-2-points-in-tracking-poll.html

EDIT: Oops. Didn't see this above.

Party id: D +6

(when it was tied, it was D +4, when it was o +1, it was D+5. TODAY, Party identification is solid like gender, age in my opinion).

Romney lead Independents by 6. Steady lead.

[RogueBeaver]

Gallup LV

Romney 51% (-)
Obama 45% (-)

Obama job approval (Adults)

Approve 49% (-1)
Disapprove 46%

[Cliffy]

It's just an amazing coincidence then.  I've noticed over the years Dems tend to belive in coincidences....

Lol, our friends on here that say Party ID doesn't matter, ignore that these bastions of liberal polling keep having to increase their D samples to keep that firewall up for Obama.  Hope the lib voters get the memo they have to turnout accordingly.... wait I guess the polls are the memo

PPP (Oct. 17-19)
Obama:  49 (+1)
Romney: 47 (nc)

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-expands-lead-to-2-points-in-tracking-poll.html

EDIT: Oops. Didn't see this above.

Party id: D +6

(when it was tied, it was D +4, when it was o +1, it was D+5. TODAY, Party identification is solid like gender, age in my opinion).

Romney lead Independents by 6. Steady lead.

You can't try to increase Party ID you retard. Party ID depends on the sample, it's random.

[Cliffy]

Ras and Gallup are getting closer.  Gallup is holding a strong trend for Romney.  

 

Gallup LV

Romney 51% (-)
Obama 45% (-)

Obama job approval (Adults)

Approve 49% (-1)
Disapprove 46%

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

IBD/TIPP Poll O+2.6
Obama- 46.6%
Romney-44.0%

Monday night's final debate on foreign policy looms large for Mitt Romney, as Obama has opened up a 2.6-point lead over the GOP challenger.
One area where Obama has gained in recent days is among suburban voters, with whom he has a 7-point edge, up from a tie Thursday.
Obama has also drawn even among male voters, a group with which Romney previously held a slight edge.
Obama has also solidified his lead among those who describe themselves as working class.
Romney remains strong, however, with independents, holding a 10-point advantage with that swing voting bloc.

[Lief 🗽]

Obama clearly has the momentum now.

[Yank2133]

Barry needs to bring on Monday.

Finish him, Barry!

Reuters

Obama-46(NC)
Romney-45(+2)

[Likely Voter]

Saturday tracking poll summary* (and change from prev)

RAND Obama +3 (R+1)
Reuters* Obama+3 (-)
TIPP Obama +3  (O+1)
PPP  Obama +2 (O+1)
Rasmussen  Romney +1 (R+1)
Gallup   Romney +6  (-)
 
avg  Obama +0.5 (R+0.2)

*All polls showing rounded up data up to Friday, with 3 days of post-debate. Reuters and PPP now report same day, above data is on their data reported yesterday for apples/apples comparisons

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Saturday tracking poll summary* (and change from prev)

RAND Obama +3 (R+1)
Reuters* Obama+3 (-)
TIPP Obama +3  (O+1)
PPP  Obama +2 (O+1)
Rasmussen  Romney +1 (R+1)
Gallup   Romney +6  (-)
 
avg  Obama +0.5 (R+0.2)

*All polls showing rounded up data up to Friday, with 3 days of post-debate. Reuters and PPP now report same day, above data is on their data reported yesterday for apples/apples comparisons

Yes, Obama definitely has clear momentum.

Sigh.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

It's definitely not great, but it isn't horrible, either.  Obama's in a nice position going into the third debate if he's at least slightly in the lead.

[Eraserhead]

Still a bit early but it looks like Obama may have gotten a baby bounce from the debate. Better than nothing, I suppose.

[Skill and Chance]

The states are coming more in line with a national tie now.  Others have said in the past that state polls lag national polls.  Maybe that is what is going on here. 

It does look like Obama got 1-1.5% out of the 2nd debate, but it's a far cry from the back to September margins some were predicting.