National Tracking Poll Thread

[Eraserhead]

Looks like a pretty good day for Obama in the national polling and a pretty weak day for him in the state polling.

[J. J.]

Looks like a pretty good day for Obama in the national polling and a pretty weak day for him in the state polling.

If down 6 on Gallup and tied on Rasmussen and one point ahead on PPP is "pretty good," you need a new definition of "pretty good." 

[Marston]

Looks like a pretty good day for Obama in the national polling and a pretty weak day for him in the state polling.

If down 6 on Gallup and tied on Rasmussen and one point ahead on PPP is "pretty good," you need a new definition of "pretty good." 

Don't reference Gallup seriously if you want to be taken seriously.

[Eraserhead]

Looks like a pretty good day for Obama in the national polling and a pretty weak day for him in the state polling.

If down 6 on Gallup and tied on Rasmussen and one point ahead on PPP, you need a new definition of "pretty good."  

Nobody takes Gallup seriously. Not even Romney's Republican pollsters. Plus there are national polls besides those three, perhaps you haven't heard.

And the main point was that all of the movement in the national polls so far today has been toward Obama, maybe you missed that too. Obama is very close to taking back the lead nationally even on the RCP average which doesn't include some of the polls that have been more favorable to Obama.

[J. J.]

Looks like a pretty good day for Obama in the national polling and a pretty weak day for him in the state polling.

If down 6 on Gallup and tied on Rasmussen and one point ahead on PPP, you need a new definition of "pretty good." 

Nobody takes Gallup seriously. Not even Romney's Republican pollsters. Plus there are national polls besides those three, perhaps you haven't heard.

And the main point was that all of the movement in the national polls so far today has been toward Obama, maybe you missed that too.

It still isn't a good day, though I think Gallup has a bad sample in it.  It will be a good day when it drops out, but that wasn't today. 

[sobo]

IBD/TIPP
Obama:  46.5
Romney: 44.8

So among tracking polls published today, Obama has gained 1 point in Gallup, IBD/TIPP, and PPP. He's gained 2 in Rasmussen. Romney gained 2 in RAND. Reuters/Ipsos is yet to update.

Once RCP updates IBD/TIPP Obama will move into a tie with Romney on their tracker. They don't include PPP's tracker which is kind of inexplicable as they use PPP's state polls.

EDIT: Looks like it pushed him ahead, even without including the PPP poll.

[Lief 🗽]

Obama leads the RCP average by 0.1%! And RCP, being a right-wing hack website, doesn't include RAND, Ipsos or PPP.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Looks like a pretty good day for Obama in the national polling and a pretty weak day for him in the state polling.

If down 6 on Gallup and tied on Rasmussen and one point ahead on PPP is "pretty good," you need a new definition of "pretty good." 

Don't reference Gallup seriously if you want to be taken seriously.

JJ will need to do much more than that to be taken seriously.

[J. J.]

Looks like a pretty good day for Obama in the national polling and a pretty weak day for him in the state polling.

If down 6 on Gallup and tied on Rasmussen and one point ahead on PPP is "pretty good," you need a new definition of "pretty good." 

Don't reference Gallup seriously if you want to be taken seriously.

JJ will need to do much more than that to be taken seriously.

Quoted for truth. 

[Franzl]

Looks like a pretty good day for Obama in the national polling and a pretty weak day for him in the state polling.

If down 6 on Gallup and tied on Rasmussen and one point ahead on PPP is "pretty good," you need a new definition of "pretty good." 

Don't reference Gallup seriously if you want to be taken seriously.

JJ will need to do much more than that to be taken seriously.

He'd need to stop being J.J.

[DrScholl]

Larry Sabato is questioning Gallup's methodology on Twitter. I think Gallup may have some real issue here.

[Cliffy]

If Obama gets significant movement in Rasmussen or Gallup then I'll start to think he has a shot.  At this point he's in real trouble.

[Likely Voter]

Summarizing all Friday tracking polls (and change from prev)

Reuters Obama+3 (O+1)
RAND Obama +4 (R+2)
Rasmussen  TIE (O+2)
PPP  Obama +1 (O+1)
Gallup   Romney +6  (O+1)
TIPP Obama +2  (O+2)
  
avg  Obama +0.7 (O+0.8 )

Note: All polls rounded for apples to apples comparison, avg rounded to 1 decimal place. Reuters poll will be released later today, but that contains data from today so this is summary of polls with data ending yesterday (two days of post debate)

[Landslide Lyndon]

Summarizing all Friday tracking polls (and change from prev)

Reuters Obama+3 (O+1)
RAND Obama +4 (R+2)
Rasmussen  TIE (O+2)
PPP  Obama +1 (O+1)
Gallup   Romney +6  (O+1)
TIPP Obama +2  (O+2)
  
avg  Obama +0.7 (O+0.7)

Note: All polls rounded for apples to apples comparison, avg rounded to 1 decimal place. Reuters poll will be released later today, but that contains data from today so this is summary of polls with data ending yesterday (two days of post debate)

Good job my friend.

[Likely Voter]

I fixed something the change since the day before is Obama+0.8. My summary yesterday was a TIE but I was including Reuters which included two days post-debate when all other polls just had one day. So today's summary is more apples/apples.

Also PPP is going to start releasing their tracker the same night starting tonight. So by the end of the day we will have 2 polls with 3 days of post debate data (if Rueters doesn't skip reporting today as the do sometimes). TIPP appears to be the last to report so hopefully I or someone can do a summary every day after they do.

[Yank2133]

Reuters

Obama-46(-1)
Romney-43(-1)

[J. J.]

Larry Sabato is questioning Gallup's methodology on Twitter. I think Gallup may have some real issue here.

That is a possibility.  It still has a self fulfilling prophesy effect.

[Minnesota Mike]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-expands-lead-to-2-points-in-tracking-poll.html

PPP Tracker

Obama 49
Romney 47

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

PPP Tracker - National

Obama - 49 (+1)
Romney - 47 ()

[Speed of Sound]

Summarizing all Friday tracking polls (and change from prev)

Reuters Obama+3 (O+1)
RAND Obama +4 (R+2)
Rasmussen  TIE (O+2)
PPP  Obama +1 (O+1)
Gallup   Romney +6  (O+1)
TIPP Obama +2  (O+2)
  
avg  Obama +0.7 (O+0.8 )

Note: All polls rounded for apples to apples comparison, avg rounded to 1 decimal place. Reuters poll will be released later today, but that contains data from today so this is summary of polls with data ending yesterday (two days of post debate)

Take out Gallups ridiculous numbers and the day is even brighter.

[sobo]

PPP (Oct. 17-19)
Obama:  49 (+1)
Romney: 47 (nc)

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-expands-lead-to-2-points-in-tracking-poll.html

EDIT: Oops. Didn't see this above.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Alright... so that's 3 of us who have put it in now...

[Lief 🗽]

The debate bounce is sweeping across the country. I invite my Romney-supporting friends to jump aboard the Obama Train before it's too late!

[pepper11]

The debate bounce is sweeping across the country. I invite my Romney-supporting friends to jump aboard the Obama Train before it's too late!

State polling disagrees.

[Reds4]

You think someone could post the PPP daily tracker? I haven't seen it yet. Lol, sorry guys.. I had to!