Texas demographer: "It's basically over for Anglos [in Texas]"

[Dgov]

I finally got the new data to pull up in DRA.

Wow, Fort Bend county got really, really hosed for Pete Olson. You can just barely get it up to majority white by attaching the Lavaca, Fayette, and the other rural counties.

Not really.  Remember that if you take out the parts of Houston/Majority black areas on the Eastern Edge of the county (which aren't in his district anyway), Fort Bend voted like 58% for McCain, despite being less than 40% White.  Alot of the non-white population is the not-very-democratic Asians, who make up like 20% of the County's population and artificially reduce the "White" percentage relative to the Republican's performance in the county.

For another example, the current 7th district is less than 53% White according to the census, despite being so Republican the Democrats didn't even bother to contest it in 2010.  Texas as a whole is also only like 45% White and is still strongly Republican.

[minionofmidas]

I am afraid these sort of studies do not take into account assimilation. There is a lot of intermarriage. A lot of the third-generation "Hispanics" are barely Hispanic at all - and even that only for all sort of minority-preference purposes.  Still more don't even identify themselves as Hispanic.

They usually do on the Census. Even if nowhere else.

Indeed, the Census question is framed the way it is purposefully to get as many people to identify as Hispanic as possible. (In the Census Bureau's own studies on the subject, it is apparently taken for granted that the highest figure is the correct one.)

[Sbane]

I finally got the new data to pull up in DRA.

Wow, Fort Bend county got really, really hosed for Pete Olson. You can just barely get it up to majority white by attaching the Lavaca, Fayette, and the other rural counties.

Not really.  Remember that if you take out the parts of Houston/Majority black areas on the Eastern Edge of the county (which aren't in his district anyway), Fort Bend voted like 58% for McCain, despite being less than 40% White.  Alot of the non-white population is the not-very-democratic Asians, who make up like 20% of the County's population and artificially reduce the "White" percentage relative to the Republican's performance in the county.

For another example, the current 7th district is less than 53% White according to the census, despite being so Republican the Democrats didn't even bother to contest it in 2010.  Texas as a whole is also only like 45% White and is still strongly Republican.

I wonder where the Vietnamese live in the Houston area and whether there is a difference between their voting habits and other Asian groups.