Alaska Absentee/Write-in/Provisional Count

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

I want McAdamsmentum.

So sad that he doesn't even have a chance.

[cinyc]

Alaska is starting to count write-ins today:

http://community.adn.com/adn/node/154249

[cinyc]

It's looking very good for Murkowski so far.  According to the Anchorage paper:

89% of the first batch of write-ins counted so far were perfect for Lisa Murkowski.

Only 67 of 7,638 write-ins counted were for someone other than Murkowski, including 1 for Miller and 5 for Sid Hill - who's in second place among write-ins.

Miller has challenged about 10% of the ballots counted so far - but almost all challenges have been overruled - only 89 of 678 were successful, 1.17% of the ballots counted.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Awesome. I can't wait to see Joe Miller go down.

[Eraserhead]

Is Sid Hill anyone of note?

[Meeker]

Is Sid Hill anyone of note?

http://www.adn.com/2010/08/27/1428432/statement-scuffle-caught-on-video.html

[Eraserhead]

Is Sid Hill anyone of note?

http://www.adn.com/2010/08/27/1428432/statement-scuffle-caught-on-video.html

A LaRochite. Of course!

[jimrtex]

Anyone know what percent of Sekula-Gibbs's write-ins were disqualified in 2006?

By the time they got around to counting them, they knew there weren't enough, so they accepted about anything.  Texas treats write-in candidates as actual candidates (they have to pay a fee or file a petition, and file by early September), where other states treat them more like random scribbling that might match someone who said they were interested in votes the night before the election.

The votes in 3 of the counties were on DRE, where you vote for "Write-in" and then you get a screen that shows a keyboard (ABCDE rather than QWERTY).  You scroll with a scroll wheel which is sort of like a rotary phone dial, and select a letter at a time.  It is really a painful process.   The SOS would not let the counties pre-program the counting software, but once a counting board had accepted a particular spelling, all the duplicates could be counted automatically.  Galveston County had some ballots that were on paper - either the early votes or the election day votes, since they were still in the process of transitioning to new machines.  So the ballots were projected with an overhead projector one by one and the handwritten spelling interpreted.

Sekula-Gibbs had originally been elected to the Houston City Council as Sheila Rodriguez, since she was married to Sylvan Rodriguez, a TV newscaster who later died.  Even then her name was questionable since she was professionally Dr. Sekula.  She later married a Mr.Gibbs and changed her name.   Fort Bend County released its "name list" after the election and it had hundreds of spellings that had been accepted.

[Tender Branson]

If 89% of counted WI-votes are "solid" for Murkowski and it stays that way until all of them are counted, she will even remain ahead of Miller without "questioned" ballots.

[jimrtex]

If 89% of counted WI-votes are "solid" for Murkowski and it stays that way until all of them are counted, she will even remain ahead of Miller without "questioned" ballots.

Though they are being counted on a precinct-by-precinct basis, so they might have a geographic bias.  If they start with the low numbered legislative districts in the panhandle, this might be particularly true.

[Smash255]

If 89% of counted WI-votes are "solid" for Murkowski and it stays that way until all of them are counted, she will even remain ahead of Miller without "questioned" ballots.

Perhaps not if Miller can make up more ground with the remaining absentees.  89% of the write-in's breaking for Murkowski would give her a 571 vote margin over Miller, perhaps around 56- or so with a handful of write-in's for Milelr (2 so far), but what happens with the rest of the absentees could change that somewhat

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

If 89% of counted WI-votes are "solid" for Murkowski and it stays that way until all of them are counted, she will even remain ahead of Miller without "questioned" ballots.

Just barely, but yeah... it'd be a solid victory.  Plus, if the courts continue to rule in her favor and allow imperfect spellings where voter intent is clear, she'll easily win.

Something I didn't think about that Miller (or someone who liked Miller so his campaign could distance himself from it) could've done to hurt Murkowski would've been to run adds telling people to write in "Lisa M." ... I know it got pretty dirty up there, so I'm kinda surprised nobody tried to do an ad campaign like that.

[ilikeverin]

Murkowski's share of write-ins up to 98%: http://www.miamiherald.com/2010/11/11/1920285/murkowski-has-98-of-alaskas-write.html

[ag]

Murkowski's share of write-ins up to 98%: http://www.miamiherald.com/2010/11/11/1920285/murkowski-has-98-of-alaskas-write.html

That's what it's been from the beginning. 98% includes most of the disputed misspellings.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I don't see Miller making up much ground with the absentees, remember that McAdams and the third parties got about 25%, so only 75% of those absentees matter for either candidate.

[ag]

It looks like they've counted some more votes (aside from working through the write-ins), so that the current gap has shrunk further. So far, it seems to be:

write-ins 92,979 (40.12%)
Joe Miller (R) 82,180 (35.46%)
Scott McAdams (D) 54,147 (23.36%)
Frederick Haase (L) 1,258 (0.54%)
Tim Carter 801 (0.35%)
Ted Gianoutsos 391 (0.17%)

[Antonio the Sixth]

How many votes left to count ?

[Niemeyerite]

Lol, haase didn't want to give his nomination to murkowski because he thought he could win hahaha

[Meeker]

The Miller campaign seems to have realized that they weren't challenging enough ballots yesterday to put Murkowski at least theoretically in trouble. They've begun making challenges that aren't even vaguely legitimate, such as this one:



http://community.adn.com/adn/node/154279

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

The favorite challenge I've heard if is to a write-in ballot that had "Lisa Murkowski" spelled correctly, but followed it with the party label "Republican".

[Torie]

Miller seems intent of making a total ass of himself, doesn't he?  There is this penchant this year to destroy one's career for some reason. We saw that with Conway in Kentucky, and now here.

[Lief 🗽]

Hopefully the sore loser's career is over after this.

[Free Palestine]

The Miller campaign seems to have realized that they weren't challenging enough ballots yesterday to put Murkowski at least theoretically in trouble. They've begun making challenges that aren't even vaguely legitimate, such as this one:



http://community.adn.com/adn/node/154279

Well, that's what they deserve for writing in cursive.  Damn people who don't want me to be able to read their writing.

[Smash255]

Miller is such a joke.

[ag]

The Miller campaign seems to have realized that they weren't challenging enough ballots yesterday to put Murkowski at least theoretically in trouble. They've begun making challenges that aren't even vaguely legitimate, such as this one:



http://community.adn.com/adn/node/154279

Well, that's what they deserve for writing in cursive.  Damn people who don't want me to be able to read their writing.

I was about to post that very link. That's indeed pathetic.