2011 State Elections in Germany

[minionofmidas]

NPD leader AWOL from tv. They don't know where he is, he just hasn't come.

[Franzl]

NPD leader AWOL from tv. They don't know where he is, he just hasn't come.

It's not entirely certain that the NPD will actually get in. There's a slight chance (I admit....probably under 10%) that they'll be under 5% when all is said and done.

[minionofmidas]

Erwin Sellering really couldn't ever deny being a Westphalian.

[Tender Branson]

Wins and losses compared with 2006:

+6.8 SPD
+5.1 Greens
+0.2 Left

-6.6 FDP
-4.8 CDU
-1.8 Nazis

+1.1 Others

[Tender Branson]

It's not looking good, because in the first ARD projection, the NPD still has 5.5%

[Tender Branson]

Wins and losses compared with 2006 (ZDF projection):

+6.0 SPD
+5.1 Greens
+1.2 Left

-6.6 FDP
-4.5 CDU
-2.1 Nazis

+0.9 Others

...

Seats (71 seats in total):

28 SPD (+5)
19 CDU (-3)
14 Left (+1)
  6 Greens (+6)
  4 NPD (-2)
  0 FDP (-7)

[BenNebbich]

no red green possible.

i think spd/cdu will be the result.

[minionofmidas]

no red green possible.

Almost certainly, yeah.

[Franzl]

I think you can forget red-green. Which is unfortunate, in a way. I'd be pleased to see an East-German state be capable of electing a government only consisting of democratic parties that isn't a grand coalition.

[minionofmidas]

NPD leader AWOL from tv. They don't know where he is, he just hasn't come.

He's there now.

[republicanism]

A nice result for my party, we are really building a phalanx of popular state governments in the North.
Sellering won't do Red-Green with a majority of only one seat, while a tame CDU and a relatively moderate Leftist Party with government experience stand aside a (more or less attractive) choices.

The drop of bitterness is the Nazis' result, of course. Not unexpected though.

[Tender Branson]

Some data from the ARD exit poll:

State Government approval: 55-43
Federal Government approval: 25-74

Which coalition-partner would be good for the SPD ?

42% CDU
25% Greens
25% Left

Direct vote for Governor:

74% Sellering (SPD)
14% Caffier (CDU)

[Franzl]

Some data from the ARD exit poll:

State Government approval: 55-43
Federal Government approval: 25-74

Which coalition-partner would be good for the SPD ?

42% CDU
25% Greens
25% Left

Direct vote for Governor:

74% Sellering (SPD)
14% Caffier (CDU)

The low overall approval of the state government is a little surprising for me.

[Antonio the Sixth]

What a shame.

[Franzl]

What a shame.

Hey you got a strong left-wing result. Although I suppose we share our disappointment that Nazis were actually re-elected to parliament.

[Tender Branson]

ZDF exit poll numbers:

Direct vote for Governor:

64% Sellering (SPD)
15% Caffier (CDU)

Gov. Sellering Approval Rating:

76% Approve (SPD: 97%, Left: 83%, Greens: 80%, CDU: 78%)
12% Disapprove

Coalition preferences:

SPD/CDU: 47% good, 31% bad
SPD/Left: 34% good, 45% bad
SPD/Greens: 35% good, 42% bad

Women voted for:

39% SPD
24% CDU
17% Left
  9% Greens
  3% FDP
  3% NPD

Men voted for:

33% SPD
25% CDU
19% Left
  8% Greens
  7% NPD
  3% FDP

SPD support by age:

18-30: 27%
30-44: 31%
45-59: 34%
60+:    44%

CDU support by age:

18-30: 21%
30-44: 26%
45-59: 25%
60+:    24%

Left support by age:

18-30: 11%
30-44: 12%
45-59: 20%
60+:    22%

FDP support by age:

18-30: 4%
30-44: 4%
45-59: 3%
60+:    2%

Greens support by age:

18-30: 13%
30-44: 13%
45-59:   9%
60+:      4%

NPD support by age:

18-30: 12%
30-44:   7%
45-59:   5%
60+:      2%

[Tender Branson]

I´m surprised that the SPD is not around 38% with Sellering's popularity.

[Tender Branson]

http://www.statistik-mv.de

is down by the way ...

(almost as bad as NRW's or BW's site)

[Tender Branson]

According to the new ZDF projection, CDU/FDP drops even further to about 23.5% and 2.8% !

Turnout is down 7% to 52%.

[minionofmidas]

http://service.mvnet.de/cgi-bin/wahlen/2011_kom_land/wahl2011_anz.pl?L_Proz_Zweit.htm

[Tender Branson]

Thx ...

Some results so far for smaller parties:

1.7% Pirate Party
1.7% Family Party
1.1% Freie Wähler

[minionofmidas]

Counting the accompanying page for direct votes, leads are 18 SPD - 13 CDU - 1 Left. Obviously, that's just a precinct or two in some cases. No votes recorded yet from the remaining 3 (+ Rügen W).

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Nice result, apart from the Nazis.

[Tender Branson]

What's the new slogan of the FDP ?

"Fast Drei Prozent"

("Almost three percent")

[Hans-im-Glück]

What's the new slogan of the FDP ?

"Fast Drei Prozent"

("Almost three percent")

It is better than the CDU slogan in MPV

"C wie Zukunft"
("C like Future")