2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue)
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  2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue)
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Author Topic: 2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue)  (Read 182257 times)
bgwah
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« Reply #750 on: August 17, 2010, 10:28:01 PM »

Currently Cowlitz and Lewis are the two counties reporting out of WA-03. Castillo is getting mauled by Herrera in Cowlitz... Also explains Heck's low numbers.

Crist is doing surprisingly well in Cowlitz at 16%, and Heck is under 30%.
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CultureKing
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« Reply #751 on: August 17, 2010, 10:31:29 PM »

Currently Cowlitz and Lewis are the two counties reporting out of WA-03. Castillo is getting mauled by Herrera in Cowlitz... Also explains Heck's low numbers.

Crist is doing surprisingly well in Cowlitz at 16%, and Heck is under 30%.

Interesting, I really though Crist would fall on her face all over the district... Not sure if it is necessarily bad news for Heck though because I am willing to bet almost all of those voters will hold their noses and vote for him in the general. The odd part is that Herrera is beating Heck there currently eventhough the republican vote is so divided (though once again Castillo is not doing well at all down there).
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #752 on: August 17, 2010, 10:34:16 PM »

Mead now leads Meyer by a mere 24 votes (!).  Micheli trails them both by about 1600 votes.
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CultureKing
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« Reply #753 on: August 17, 2010, 10:36:43 PM »

Rumbaugh is officially done by the way, he is not even winning King county. Sad to see that this one wasn't even close...
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cinyc
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« Reply #754 on: August 17, 2010, 10:37:34 PM »
« Edited: August 17, 2010, 10:39:51 PM by cinyc »

With 386/486 (Mead blue, Meyer green, Micheli red, Simpson yellow):


Mead +24 votes.  Gillette (Campbell County) is probably going to decide this.  
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cinyc
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« Reply #755 on: August 17, 2010, 10:39:29 PM »

...now, Meyer +50 votes....
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CultureKing
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« Reply #756 on: August 17, 2010, 10:41:29 PM »

By the way isn't Crist from Olympia? I feel like she would be strongest there, amazing that she is doing so well, over 10%.
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xavier110
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« Reply #757 on: August 17, 2010, 10:42:07 PM »

The Republicans set Murray's 'expectation' mark at 45%. The Dems set Rossi's at his gubernatorial 46% in 2008, which is just absurd...
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redcommander
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« Reply #758 on: August 17, 2010, 10:42:36 PM »

If Murray had gotten 50% plus, would she have won the general election by default since the primary system is based off of run-offs?
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Хahar 🤔
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« Reply #759 on: August 17, 2010, 10:47:40 PM »

If Murray had gotten 50% plus, would she have won the general election by default since the primary system is based off of run-offs?

No. This question has been asked several times.
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CultureKing
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« Reply #760 on: August 17, 2010, 10:52:26 PM »

Update:
Murray: 48.88%
Rossi: 33.40%
Didier: 9.82%
Akers: 2.17%

Pretty good for Murray at the moment, though this is only with about 600,000 votes in.
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cinyc
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« Reply #761 on: August 17, 2010, 10:57:17 PM »

Update:
Murray: 48.88%
Rossi: 33.40%
Didier: 9.82%
Akers: 2.17%

Pretty good for Murray at the moment, though this is only with about 600,000 votes in.

King County is disproportionately represented in the results in so far.
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bgwah
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« Reply #762 on: August 17, 2010, 11:02:41 PM »

Hedrick is beating Castillo in WA-3 now, lol. Ouch...
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #763 on: August 17, 2010, 11:04:26 PM »

They might as well call the WY-Dem race for Petersen.  71%, and he leads by 8 points.  Gosar has no chance.

Leslie Petersen is a "she" ... Grin

http://www.peopleforpetersen.com/Biography.aspx
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redcommander
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« Reply #764 on: August 17, 2010, 11:04:56 PM »

Hedrick is beating Castillo in WA-3 now, lol. Ouch...

I thought Castillo would have done much better.
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CultureKing
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« Reply #765 on: August 17, 2010, 11:08:06 PM »

Hedrick is beating Castillo in WA-3 now, lol. Ouch...

I thought Castillo would have done much better.

I think his campaign was really lackluster. Personally though I would rather have him than Herrera for the simple reason that he can come up with his own policy ideas where as Herrera is something of an empty suit (at least at this point).
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Badger
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« Reply #766 on: August 17, 2010, 11:09:07 PM »

This is definitely in the just because I can category:

Wyoming PVI by County:


Wyoming PVI by Wyoming House District:


City HD close-ups:

Cheyenne:


Casper:


Laramie:


Green River-Rock Springs:


Lander-Riverton:


Some House Districts are a bit of an estimate because about 27 precincts are in two WY House Districts.  The vote was allocated straight-line by percentage of the vote in each House race.

Note this is Wyoming PVI, not US PVI - which is why more than just Teton (and perhaps Albany) counties are red.  

These maps are AWESOME, cynic!
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redcommander
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« Reply #767 on: August 17, 2010, 11:10:28 PM »

Ugh Wyoming looks like it is heading for a repeat of Georgia Tongue
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #768 on: August 17, 2010, 11:11:25 PM »

Ugh Wyoming looks like it is heading for a repeat of Georgia Tongue

Mead isn't bad at all. He's my second pref. Tongue
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cinyc
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« Reply #769 on: August 17, 2010, 11:15:13 PM »
« Edited: August 17, 2010, 11:19:57 PM by cinyc »

Mead took Campbell - and should take the election  (Mead blue, Meyer green, Micheli red, Simpson yellow):



Mead up by 1300 votes with 9 precincts left (5 in Park County; 4 in Laramie County).

The turnout percentages more or less held, pending completion of the count in the last 2 counties - Democratic turnout in the Gov race at 36% of the last released registered Democrat numbers; Republican turnout in the Gov race at 66% of registered Republicans.
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redcommander
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« Reply #770 on: August 17, 2010, 11:19:42 PM »

Ugh Wyoming looks like it is heading for a repeat of Georgia Tongue

Mead isn't bad at all. He's my second pref. Tongue

Perhaps you're right. Very few people can top being as bad as Nathan Deal.
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Torie
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« Reply #771 on: August 17, 2010, 11:20:36 PM »

Good showing by Murray I suspect, even if King is overrepresented. This not much value added dumb incumbent, will be hard to put away I suspect. Just why Washingtonians (Seattle is probably the least "dumb" metro area in the US), want a dumb to represent them, escapes me, but they do. Why don't they elect a Left smart?  Just asking.
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cinyc
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« Reply #772 on: August 17, 2010, 11:20:53 PM »

Ugh Wyoming looks like it is heading for a repeat of Georgia Tongue

Mead isn't bad at all. He's my second pref. Tongue

Perhaps you're right. Very few people can top being as bad as Nathan Deal.

If Mead slaughtered the competition in Teton County (a.k.a. Jackson Hole a.k.a. resort towns), he can't be all that bad.
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bgwah
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« Reply #773 on: August 17, 2010, 11:22:39 PM »

Good showing by Murray I suspect, even if King is overrepresented. This not much value added dumb incumbent, will be hard to put away I suspect. Just why Washingtonians (Seattle is probably the least "dumb" metro area in the US), want a dumb to represent them, escapes me, but they do. Why don't they elect a Left smart?  Just asking.

Don't you talk like that about my Pattykins!
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #774 on: August 17, 2010, 11:24:12 PM »

They might as well call the WY-Dem race for Petersen.  71%, and he leads by 8 points.  Gosar has no chance.

Leslie Petersen is a "she" ... Grin

http://www.peopleforpetersen.com/Biography.aspx

Oops.  Smiley
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