Which Party Will Control Congress?

[Frodo]

I know it's a little early since the congressional primaries haven't even begun yet, but give your best assessment. 

[Alexander Hamilton]

Senate: Dems
House: GOP

[ChrisJG777]

I'm willing to wager that both chambers will be under Democratic control, but their majority in the house will be nowhere near as they are now, whilst in the Senate it's possible that the election could result in a break-even.

[Alexander Hamilton]

In a way, the Republicans still control the Senate

[ChrisJG777]

In a way, the Republicans still control the Senate

Just not officially. 

[Lunar]

It would take an epic landslide to lose the House, but it's still feasible.

To lose the Senate....I dare someone to get the math to work on that one

[Alexander Hamilton]

It would take an epic landslide to lose the House, but it's still feasible.

To lose the Senate....I dare someone to get the math to work on that one

IL
DE
CT
NY
AR
ND
PA
NV
CO
CA
Lieberman switch

[Lunar]

It would take an epic landslide to lose the House, but it's still feasible.

To lose the Senate....I dare someone to get the math to work on that one

IL
DE
CT
NY
AR
ND
PA
NV
CO
CA
Lieberman switch

New York and a Lieberman switch?  HAH

[Alexander Hamilton]

It would take an epic landslide to lose the House, but it's still feasible.

To lose the Senate....I dare someone to get the math to work on that one

IL
DE
CT
NY
AR
ND
PA
NV
CO
CA
Lieberman switch

New York and a Lieberman switch?  HAH

We'd only need one of those to happen.

[Lunar]

so now your math depends on Joe Biden switch parties?

[Alexander Hamilton]

so now your math depends on Joe Biden switch parties?

Gillibrand deserves to lose.

[Хahar 🤔]

Senate: Republicans
House: Democrats

So no change.

[tmthforu94]

House: Democrats
Senate: Democrats

Actually, doing the math, it isn't out of the question for Republicans to control both after 2010. It will just be difficult. I think Republicans will make 2-4 gains in the Senate, and around 20 in the House. Even if the economy rebounds, Republicans will still do better in 2010.

[Marokai Backbeat]

I'm usually pretty pessimistic and overly cautious in my predictions, but there is no realistic scenario where the GOP gains control over either section of congress, especially the Senate. Even during an epic landslide, another incredibly unlikely scenario, it would be incredibly difficult for the Senate to switch.

[Hash]

House: Democrats
Senate: "Democrats"

[SamInTheSouth]

A GOP take over of the House is possible, but not likely. 

There is no chance in hell of the GOP winning a majority in the Senate.  They'd have to win 11 seats in addition to defending every single one they now hold, several of which are in swing states with retiring incumbents.

[Vepres]

My gut feeling at this moment is a one to two seat R gain in the Senate and a slim R majority in the house. That said, we still have a year to go.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

GOP would need to pick up more than 40 seats to take the House, aka bigger than 2006. That's not going to happen.

Senate is basically impossible.

[Psychic Octopus]

Options 1 and 4, The GOP picks up two senate seats and gains twenty house seats.

In a way, the Republicans still control the Senate

Just not officially. 

HAHA, so true.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Republicans just aren't going to take back the House. They should be happy that they'll probably continue to unofficially control the Senate.

[Хahar 🤔]

I'm usually pretty pessimistic and overly cautious in my predictions, but there is no realistic scenario where the GOP gains control over either section of congress, especially the Senate. Even during an epic landslide, another incredibly unlikely scenario, it would be incredibly difficult for the Senate to switch.

Really? I think it's certian that the Republicans will control the Senate. Agree with your second sentence, though.

[Sbane]

My gut feeling at this moment is a one to two seat R gain in the Senate and a slim R majority in the house. That said, we still have a year to go.

40 seats? I don't see how that is possible. 20-30 seats maybe but 40 is really stretching it.

[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

House: Blue-Dog Democrats
Senate: Olympia Snowe

[minionofmidas]

And who will control redistricting in how many states? That'll be more important than wether Republicans just cut the Dem House majority to shreds or actually take it over.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

It would take an epic landslide to lose the House, but it's still feasible.

To lose the Senate....I dare someone to get the math to work on that one

Losing Senate or House is impossible, without some epic GOP landslide.

However, I dought GOP can recover so quickly after all these mess years in power, to retake Congress of make more than marginal gains.