Rasmussen: IL Senate, Kirk + 3

[Ronnie]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/illinois/election_2010_illinois_senate_election

No comment

[pogo stick]

yay.. not really, IDC I hate Illinois.... either way their screwed

[Ronnie]

yay.. not really, IDC I hate Illinois.... either way their screwed

Well Kirk is far better than Giannoulias no matter how you look at it.

Someone who votes with the GOP 50% of the time is better than someone who votes with the GOP 0% of the time.

[You kip if you want to...]

No doubt the President's standing will be more important in this race than many others considering the President and Alexi and apparently BFFs.

This seat was D+19 in 2004, I think it's shameful for the Democrats that this is even considered a toss up.

[pogo stick]

yay.. not really, IDC I hate Illinois.... either way their screwed

Well Kirk is far better than Giannoulias no matter how you look at it.

Someone who votes with the GOP 50% of the time is better than someone who votes with the GOP 0% of the time.

I was actually complaining about the Illinois GOP In total.

Only good Republican from that state was :

Former  U.S Senator Peter Fitzgerald (R-IL) served 1999-2005.

[xavier110]

Kirk will not win. The Dems could lose PA, DE, CT, but they're not gonna lose IL.

[Lief 🗽]

Nice try Rasmussen.

[War on Want]

Yeah I really doubt this poll is accurate. We'll see though.

[Ronnie]

nkpatel, you forgot that registration may very well drift even more towards the Republicans in the next year.

[Holmes]

So Fox gets to tout this poll now, Alex G wins 59 - 41 and we get a House seat?

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

nkpatel, you forgot that registration may very well drift even more towards the Republicans in the next year.

You may as well be talking to a brick wall.

[Ronnie]

Plus, why would GOP registration actually decline from the 2008 election (from 28%)?  Your sample puts it at 25%.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Dems have been scrutinize before now, due to the budget debacle and the ineptitude of Quinn.  Once the primaries heats up, the Illinois media will focus on both sides of the aisle, that's why there are polls showing more weakness on the Democratic side.

[Rowan]

When PPP polled this race they had them tied, so I don't see how this result is so far out of the mainstream.

[You kip if you want to...]

Kirk will not win. The Dems could lose PA, DE, CT, but they're not gonna lose IL.

Republicans said the same of AK, NC and VA (in 06) i'm sure. Dems shouldn't get complacent with a still rocky economy and an apparently bungled attempt at health care reform. Although, I really hope Kirk doesn't pick up this seat.

[TeePee4Prez]

Kirk will not win. The Dems could lose PA, DE, CT, but they're not gonna lose IL.

Republicans said the same of AK, NC and VA (in 06) i'm sure. Dems shouldn't get complacent with a still rocky economy and an apparently bungled attempt at health care reform. Although, I really hope Kirk doesn't pick up this seat.

If the Dems lose ANY one of IL, PA, DE, or CT, it will be their fault.  Kirk, Simmons, and Castle are ok moderates, but their states are just too Democratic and there's no way they should win and in the case of DE, you have Beau Biden.  PA could vote for a GOP candidate, but Toomey is too far to the right for the Southeast and I doubt he'd win a single county in the region- Chester included.  No one has won PA without at least 3 of the 5 and Specter or Sestak would be unbeatable there.   The rest of the state could not outvote the Southeast and I think Sestak could match or beat Toomey in the grittier blue collar areas of the state.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Over 20% undecided? Gee, I wonder how the undecideds in Illinois are going to break.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Over 20% undecided? Gee, I wonder how the undecideds in Illinois are going to break.

That.

[Lunar]

Kirk has very good starting name rec for a congressman, is all I get from 'dis poll                     

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

...and in the case of DE, you have Beau Biden.

With the number of statewide wins under his belt in the double digits, frankly, Castle's beaten better.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

And Daddy being in the White should provide plenty of fundraising help.

[Brittain33]

...and in the case of DE, you have Beau Biden.

With the number of statewide wins under his belt in the double digits, frankly, Castle's beaten better.

When was the last time he had a competitive race? Was 1992 competitive?

[minionofmidas]

So Fox gets to tout this poll now, Alex G wins 59 - 41 and we get a House seat?

59-41? Don't see it. Kirk can win this. Although he needs to hold onto lots of moderate Dems without pissing off too many conservative Reps, so he has a difficult campaign ahead of him.

The House Seat though. That's certainly the Dems' for the takin'.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Winning on corruption of Rod Blagojevich, based on roland Burris, yes. Winning moderate Dems, no. 

[minionofmidas]

Winning on corruption of Rod Blagojevich, based on roland Burris, yes. Winning moderate Dems, no. 

Well "moderate Dems" as in "moderates who've recently been voting Democrat in statewide and especially presidential races (actually, for twenty years in the case of those)".