At this point, which electoral map is more likely?

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

2. Come on people.

You omitted a comma, because that sentence as is means something very different from what you presumably intended.

I just gagged on my fruit smoothie, brucejoel.  Thanks a lot. 

[brucejoel99]

2. Come on people.

You omitted a comma, because that sentence as is means something very different from what you presumably intended.

I just gagged on my fruit smoothie, brucejoel.  Thanks a lot. 

Don't blame me, blame the concept of grammar!

[dw93]

I think both are pretty plausible at this point, but I do think the polls will narrow as election day nears, so with that in mind, two. If the polls don't for whatever reason narrow then 1.

[Progressive Pessimist]

2. Come on people.

You omitted a comma, because that sentence as is means something very different from what you presumably intended.

I just gagged on my fruit smoothie, brucejoel.  Thanks a lot. 

Don't blame me, blame the concept of grammar!

You should have just said that it was an 'Impractical Jokers' reference and I would have backed you up.

[RaphaelDLG]

Map 1 if held today, Map 2 generally speaking.  Biden is a favorite and I bet he wins comfortably with D trifecta, and but I doubt he ends up doing that well.

[slothdem]

Map 1. There are some reasons to think that that Trump can improve on his current position and lose in a blow-out fashion, but there's no reason to think that Trump can win. Plenty of reasons to think that Trump's campaign is dead in the water and things will stay this bad for him.

[Pro-Israel, anti-Bibi]

All of Atlas is eating a hot L for voting for map 1.

[Kamala's side hoe]

All of Atlas is eating a hot L for voting for map 1.

Someone tell me what kind of malarkey Atlas was smoking this summer to think the 413 map was remotely plausible.

I still can’t get over how narrow Biden’s margin of victory was in AZ and NV. Figured the Latinos and Asians in Vegas and Phoenix would hand Biden a decisive victory in both states.

[ultraviolet]

I voted map 2 but the data was showing 1 as a very good possibility at the time, so I can’t blame them

[Catalyst138]

Don’t blame Atlas, blame the polls.

[Pro-Israel, anti-Bibi]

All of Atlas is eating a hot L for voting for map 1.

Someone tell me what kind of malarkey Atlas was smoking this summer to think the 413 map was remotely plausible.

I still can’t get over how narrow Biden’s margin of victory was in AZ and NV. Figured the Latinos and Asians in Vegas and Phoenix would hand Biden a decisive victory in both states.

I thought there was a real shot that the Dems could pick up Texas, Iowa, North Carolina etc so I accept some mockery for that.

Regarding your second point, I posted this in another thread earlier but you might find this interesting: The Democrats thought Latinos were a monolith. Cubanos and Tejanos did not fit into their electoral strategy, which was much to the Dems' disadvantage in the presidential election and key Senate races.

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/11/17/trump-latinos-south-texas-tejanos-437027