Who Wins the Alabama Runoff?

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Roy Moore, unfortunately. I still can't believe someone who makes traditional marriage a campaign base can still win in 2017. Literally under "positions" he says he opposes same-sex marriage.

Like most Alabamians.

Like the vast majority of humanity.

Unlike the vast majority of the American citizens.

[Alabama_Indy10]

Roy Moore, unfortunately. I still can't believe someone who makes traditional marriage a campaign base can still win in 2017. Literally under "positions" he says he opposes same-sex marriage.

Like most Alabamians.

Like the vast majority of humanity.

Unlike the vast majority of the American citizens.

Good thing he's not running to represent all American citizens, just Alabamians. Right?

[smoltchanov]

Roy Moore, unfortunately. I still can't believe someone who makes traditional marriage a campaign base can still win in 2017. Literally under "positions" he says he opposes same-sex marriage.

Like most Alabamians.

Like the vast majority of humanity.

Unlike the vast majority of the American citizens.

Good thing he's not running to represent all American citizens, just Alabamians. Right?

+1. Absolutely no fan of Moore, but always said that district (in this case - state) - rules! Senators and governors must reflect an opinion of majority of their state citizens, not citizens of the whole country. The same with House members and their districts.

[Kingpoleon]

Roy Moore, unfortunately. I still can't believe someone who makes traditional marriage a campaign base can still win in 2017. Literally under "positions" he says he opposes same-sex marriage.

Like most Alabamians.

Like the vast majority of humanity.

Unlike the vast majority of the American citizens.

Good thing he's not running to represent all American citizens, just Alabamians. Right?

Not really. The Senate impacts and represents all Americans. Your Senators are U. S. Senators from Alabama, not the other way around.

[Alabama_Indy10]

Roy Moore, unfortunately. I still can't believe someone who makes traditional marriage a campaign base can still win in 2017. Literally under "positions" he says he opposes same-sex marriage.

Like most Alabamians.

Like the vast majority of humanity.

Unlike the vast majority of the American citizens.

Good thing he's not running to represent all American citizens, just Alabamians. Right?

Not really. The Senate impacts and represents all Americans. Your Senators are U. S. Senators from Alabama, not the other way around.

Yeah but he is running to represent the people of Alabama in the US Senate. So he needs to have  similar views to the people of Alabama in order to be elected.

[_]

Well he can represent Alabama and her People's views all he wants, he won't be able to pass anything getting rid of SSM, thankfully.

[Beet]

The 1st round was closer than expected. Given that most Brooks voters will go to Strange, Strange still has a chance.

[Alabama_Indy10]

The 1st round was closer than expected. Given that most Brooks voters will go to Strange, Strange still has a chance.

I think most Brooks voters will go to Moore. Strange hit Brooks hard on commercials (mainly the one about Brooks previously opposing Trump). Brooks was very cold towards Strange in his concession.

[Badger]

Probably Moore.

While he is a disgrace, and will undoubtedly be one as senator, does anyone here believe there'd be even a modicum of difference in his voting records vs. Strange's?

Heck, if anything Senator Moore is worse for conservatives. While they get only a negligibly more reliable right wing vote (100% vs. Strange's 98-99%), they create one of the best demons for liberal fundraisers after only Trump himself.

[UWS]

Imagine if Strange loses, it could be a humiliation for Trump since he is endorsing Strange over Moore.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Strange over-performed exponentially in the first-round, he'll probably finish less than 6 points behind Moore.  With only 32% of the vote in his pocket, he'll have a lot of work to do but I think he has a lot more potential to expand his base than Moore does.

I don't think Strange winning would be very analogous to MS-2014.  Strange is a "new establishment" figure who has wed himself to Trump.  He's not going to attack Moore from the right or left, he's going to attack Moore from the Trump by saying that he's the candidate who could best pursue the President's agenda.  I expect Trump will be coming to Alabama sometime before the runoff.

I'll predict 54-46 Strange for now, with my map being Strange having big wins in Jefferson, Tuscaloosa, Shelby, Madison, Montgomery, Lee, Mobile, Baldwin and a few Black Belt counties.     

I think Strange wins. Who would win the black vote in the GOP primary, Strange or Moore?

As a gay establishment Republican, definitely Strange.

Wait, Strange is gay???

[MarkD]

Strange over-performed exponentially in the first-round, he'll probably finish less than 6 points behind Moore.  With only 32% of the vote in his pocket, he'll have a lot of work to do but I think he has a lot more potential to expand his base than Moore does.

I don't think Strange winning would be very analogous to MS-2014.  Strange is a "new establishment" figure who has wed himself to Trump.  He's not going to attack Moore from the right or left, he's going to attack Moore from the Trump by saying that he's the candidate who could best pursue the President's agenda.  I expect Trump will be coming to Alabama sometime before the runoff.

I'll predict 54-46 Strange for now, with my map being Strange having big wins in Jefferson, Tuscaloosa, Shelby, Madison, Montgomery, Lee, Mobile, Baldwin and a few Black Belt counties.     

I think Strange wins. Who would win the black vote in the GOP primary, Strange or Moore?

As a gay establishment Republican, definitely Strange.

Wait, Strange is gay???

I am fairly sure Del Tachi was referring to himself. Del is a gay Republican. There is another Atlas poster who calls himself "gay Republican," so there appear to be two who are open about it. I'm gay, and I used to be a Republican as well, albeit 15 years ago.

[Maxwell]

The 1st round was closer than expected. Given that most Brooks voters will go to Strange, Strange still has a chance.

not sure why you think that. Strange was incredibly negative toward Brooks, while Moore didn't run a single negative ad. Remember: Brooks is not remotely an establishment Republican, he is close to as far right as Moore (he is anti-McConnell, says there is a "War on Whites", ect.). Brooks' appeal strikes me as way closer to Moore than Strange, a corrupt pretender to the throne.

[Greedo punched first]

Moore