Will Hillary win the general election?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 18, 2024, 02:12:11 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Will Hillary win the general election?
« previous next »
Pages: 1 2 [3]
Poll
Question: (Assuming she's the Dem nominee) Following the precipitous drop in her favorability ratings?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 105

Author Topic: Will Hillary win the general election?  (Read 8607 times)
bobloblaw
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,018
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #50 on: September 06, 2015, 07:06:34 PM »

I'm gonna predict that she'll win by a margin slightly bigger than Obama's 2012 margin.

The incumbent party going for the third win and winning a larger margin hasnt happened since 1904.

Who exactly voted for Romney that will vote for Hillary? Obama pretty much maximized the Dem vote.
Logged
exopolitician
MATCHU[D]
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #51 on: September 06, 2015, 07:17:46 PM »

If she does, it will be very close. I will not be surprised if she loses though.
Logged
Sasquatch
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,077


Political Matrix
E: -8.13, S: -8.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #52 on: September 06, 2015, 07:54:34 PM »

She should win easily, but I think she'll find a way to lose.
Logged
Brewer
BrewerPaul
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,622


Political Matrix
E: -6.90, S: -6.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #53 on: September 06, 2015, 09:00:00 PM »

Of course. My expert prediction is that she will end up garnering a performance slightly worse than Obama 2012.
Logged
DS0816
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,209
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #54 on: September 06, 2015, 09:08:13 PM »

The election is 14 months away. Jesus christ you people need to stop over-reacting.

QFT.

Close answer is this: In which direction is the country going to shift? If it's heading toward the opposition party, it's likely in such case that 2016 ends up a Republican pickup of the presidency. If that's not going to be the case, we'll likely see a mix of Republican and Democratic shifts, from all states, that point to a Democratic hold of the presidency.

Part of what's forgotten is this: People don't give thought to presidential elections until the voting time is a lot closer. It's sort of like taxes. They'll deal with it once the time comes.

Logged
SUSAN CRUSHBONE
evergreen
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,735
Antarctica


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #55 on: September 06, 2015, 09:09:32 PM »

nah. trump's winning next year.
Logged
DS0816
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,209
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #56 on: September 06, 2015, 09:11:52 PM »


Along with the Hispanic vote nationwide.
Logged
TheElectoralBoobyPrize
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,544


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #57 on: September 08, 2015, 09:12:06 AM »

I'm gonna predict that she'll win by a margin slightly bigger than Obama's 2012 margin.

The incumbent party going for the third win and winning a larger margin hasnt happened since 1904.

Who exactly voted for Romney that will vote for Hillary? Obama pretty much maximized the Dem vote.

Not saying Hillary will win by a bigger margin, but I think the THEORY is that Hillary won't do nearly as badly as Obama did with white women.

Prior to Obama, no President since Andrew Jackson had been reelected with a smaller percentage of the popular vote than in his first win.

Having said that, I don't really think Hillary will win (if she even wins at all) by a bigger margin than Obama '12.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,522
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #58 on: September 08, 2015, 09:15:02 AM »

If Biden wins Iowa, then the answer is no; Biden I hope will win GE. But if she is Dems nominee; yes.
Logged
Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,298
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #59 on: September 08, 2015, 09:30:52 AM »

Her chances are fading by the day.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,522
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #60 on: September 08, 2015, 09:36:20 AM »

Her chances arent fading; she is the only one going up against a barrage of negative attacks by GOP.

She can and will overcome them and beat the unelectable Trump.

Logged
Senator Cris
Cris
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,613
Italy


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #61 on: September 08, 2015, 09:39:15 AM »

Too early to tell.
The only thing I'm 99% sure is that it'll be a very close election, at least close as 2004. Maybe as 2000.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,522
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #62 on: September 08, 2015, 09:46:25 AM »

I dont think Clinton is worried about losing to Trump, but Jeb; yes.
Logged
heatmaster
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,244
Ireland, Republic of


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #63 on: September 08, 2015, 02:09:04 PM »
« Edited: September 08, 2015, 02:26:21 PM by heatmaster »

She's not liked and it shows in her unfavorabilities and in addition her untrustworthiness have reached Nixonian levels. Maybe as the least likeable candidate, she can pull of a Nixon (he was the most unlikeable candidate running in '68). If Hillary is using her gender to win. No one will vote for Hillary because she's a woman. I mean everyone knows that, but there has to be more. Elect me because I'm Bill's wife, she will have to push a stronger argument than that. Her email issues, the activities and apparent irregularities in which the Clinton Foundation has been engaged in, are creating bad optics for the Clinton campaign. Her role as Secretary of State has effectively airbrushed out of her political biography. Why is this the case?  The email server issue, Benghazi and the Clinton Foundation.  If anything the Clinton's have brazened things out. Not this time it seems. Her tenure as Secretary of State should be a positive, but now it's a net negative and this has nothing to do with the attacks by us Republicans,  we have merely highlighted the more seedier and inappropriate activities of Clinton Inc., If the best defense offered by Democrats on Hillary's behalf, no criminal activities have been proven or any felony indictments have been put forth. That's a pretty poor standard to be going by. Hillary might be popular within the Democratic tribe, but what about the rest of the electorate in general.  If her support is confined with the party rank & file and she's unable to expand her support beyond her base, she's toast. To date not one Democrat has offered a rational rebuttal, instead this contributor on the Republican side of the equation has been subject to ridicule and attack, it's not a salient defense which leads me to conclude. There is none which can be offered. For one cannot defend the indefensible, so the only prescription is to respond with attack. However this line of response, will not eliminate the issue. It's still here and will dog Hillary for as long as she persists in "stonewalling". I don't envy her. No doubt she will continue to assume that folks are stupid. But as often has been said,"Assumptions are the mother of all screw-ups"!😉
Logged
Pages: 1 2 [3]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.258 seconds with 13 queries.