Why do you think the GCB is essentially tied (August 2022)?
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  Why do you think the GCB is essentially tied (August 2022)?
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Poll
Question: What do you think are the key drivers of the generic congressional ballot currently being tied given Biden's low approval ratings?
#1
The GCB means nothing this far out from the election, so who cares?
 
#2
Polling aggregates are wrong, most voters actually prefer Republicans
 
#3
The current close GCB is just a temporary bump for Democrats
 
#4
The unpopularity of Trump specifically is pushing voters towards Democrats
 
#5
The unpopularity of overturning Roe v. Wade is pushing voters towards Democrats
 
#6
The unpopularity of the Republican Party in general is pushing voters towards Democrats
 
#7
Voters are rewarding Democrats for various policies/accomplishments of the 117th Congress
 
#8
The changing Democratic coalition makes it stronger during mid-terms
 
#9
Democrats have nominated better candidates in the 2022 cycle
 
#10
Democrats have done a better job with messaging/campaigning
 
#11
Current polling doesn't accurately capture Biden's standing with voters
 
#12
The president's approval rating isn't actually a key driver of mid-terms
 
#13
The economy is boosting Democrats
 
#14
Foreign affairs are boosting Democrats
 
#15
Biden's low-key approach has made his approval ratings less of an issue
 
#16
Other
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 75

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Author Topic: Why do you think the GCB is essentially tied (August 2022)?  (Read 2645 times)
SnowLabrador
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« Reply #50 on: August 21, 2022, 09:25:55 AM »

Well, the NBC News GCB poll now has R+2. It seems like it will be a red wave after all.

Why are you still here?

Because I've got nothing better to do.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #51 on: August 21, 2022, 09:32:12 AM »

Well, the NBC News GCB poll now has R+2. It seems like it will be a red wave after all.

Why are you still here?

Because I've got nothing better to do.

If Collins votes to confirm, I will leave the forum for a year.


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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #52 on: August 21, 2022, 09:40:35 AM »

Well, the NBC News GCB poll now has R+2. It seems like it will be a red wave after all.

Why are you still here?

Because I've got nothing better to do.

If Collins votes to confirm, I will leave the forum for a year.




Don’t bother trying to reason with a broken clock, no matter how much you try to convince it that it’s way off and needs to be fixed, it’ll keep responding “5:34.”
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #53 on: August 21, 2022, 10:06:55 AM »

Well, the NBC News GCB poll now has R+2. It seems like it will be a red wave after all.

Why are you still here?

Because I've got nothing better to do.

You're going back on ignore.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #54 on: August 21, 2022, 11:02:27 AM »

Snowlabrador blames our problems on D's because Biden is in the WH but there is a Filibuster in the Senate and we could of had Gun Control, Voting Rights and comprehensive immigration reform when Ds get 218/217 DH and 52 seats then you can blame them for our problems because there is no Filibuster

Snowlabrador doesn't realize if Rs get in control things will get a lot worse there will be no student loan pauses and no Student Loans Discharge

Those will be over, let's see how quickly users will go back to Ds should Rs even get control of the H they have to choose between Day care for kids and pay that student loans bill 300/500 bill
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #55 on: August 21, 2022, 12:37:19 PM »

Snow Labrador is the most realistic red avatar on the forum.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #56 on: August 21, 2022, 02:08:44 PM »

Snow Labrador is the most realistic red avatar on the forum.

He’s basically been completely wrong about everything for at least the last two years.
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Burke Bro
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« Reply #57 on: August 22, 2022, 03:23:50 AM »

I don’t think the GCB vote being tied is all that unsurprising. Assuming the national environment moves slightly to the right closer to Election Day and the actual results are something like R+2, that’s only a 2 point miss. What’s weirder is how out of step many of these individual house, senate, and governor polls are with the national environment. There is no conceivable way that democrats are winning the AZ/PA senate races by double digits when those states were nearly tied in a year that was more favorable to democrats.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #58 on: August 22, 2022, 07:48:47 AM »

I don’t think the GCB vote being tied is all that unsurprising. Assuming the national environment moves slightly to the right closer to Election Day and the actual results are something like R+2, that’s only a 2 point miss. What’s weirder is how out of step many of these individual house, senate, and governor polls are with the national environment. There is no conceivable way that democrats are winning the AZ/PA senate races by double digits when those states were nearly tied in a year that was more favorable to democrats.

Not saying that PA or AZ dems will win by double digits, but candidate quality clearly matters. I mean, Kelly did outperform Biden by 2%
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