Rate Macomb County, MI Trump v. Biden
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  Rate Macomb County, MI Trump v. Biden		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Rate Macomb County, MI Trump v. Joe?
#1
Safe R		  
#2
Likely R		  
#3
Lean R		  
#4
Tilt R		  
#5
Toss Up		  
#6
Tilt D		  
#7
Lean D		  
#8
Likely D		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 58

Author Topic: Rate Macomb County, MI Trump v. Biden  (Read 832 times)
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #25 on: March 06, 2020, 05:16:36 PM »
Lean R

Trump wins it 52/46.
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #26 on: March 06, 2020, 05:19:36 PM »
Quote from: President Biden on March 04, 2020, 05:07:26 PM
Safe R because all Obama-Trump voters are gone for Democrats

Most of them, yeah, are gone, deal with it.....
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SevenEleven
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #27 on: March 06, 2020, 09:37:24 PM »
Quote from: Sen. Dean Heller on March 06, 2020, 01:09:48 PM
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on March 06, 2020, 01:03:07 PM
Quote from: Sen. Dean Heller on March 06, 2020, 12:51:23 PM
Quote from: Impeachment Inquiry on March 06, 2020, 11:42:16 AM
Quote from: Sen. Dean Heller on March 06, 2020, 11:22:37 AM
If I told you about a suburban college educated CD that flipped from Romney +4 to Clinton +12, it would be safe D in a landslide according to Atlas, and Atlas would be right. Based off everything we know as of now (ie, no anti Trump mega landslide) Safe R is the similarily only realistic answer here

The problem with that logic is that it isn't supported with numbers. There are a number of Romney to Clinton counties that maintained some of the swing in elections after 2016, but the same cannot be said of Macomb County. If it was Safe Republican then Republicans would have carried it in 2018 even while losing statewide.

In 2008, Obama flipped Dallas County for the first time in a generation. In 2010, it went red in the statewide races. Should we have interpreted this as evidence it would vote for Mitt Romney in 2012, or that Democrats did badly in a blue county in a red wave?

Seeing as Dallas County voted for all Dems except for the LG candidate (and by a fraction of a point) in 2010 and went 55-42D for Governor, yes, it would have been very Safe D

Ah, my apologies. For some reason I was thinking of Bexar County in my head, which did go blue in the Governor race but stayed red other than that. My bad!

Getting your words mixed up doesn't make the poor logic behind them any better.
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Sbane
sbane
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« Reply #28 on: March 06, 2020, 11:52:10 PM »

Biden is not a great candidate for Macomb County. He will do very well in Oakland County though.
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SN2903
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #29 on: March 06, 2020, 11:57:49 PM »
No Trump will win by at least 10
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