2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[dspNY]

Kind of crazy how Trump did better with non-white voters than any Republican nominee since 1960 and still lost!

I believe Bush in 2004 won 45% of the Hispanic vote

[dspNY]

I'm very relieved right now. They could have called PA 36 hours ago but the networks were very cautious and wanted to wait until Biden had both the lead outside of recount territory (0.5%) and the trends of the remaining votes solidly in his direction.

One other thing; the dancing in the streets. You love to see it (as long as everyone is wearing a mask)

[dspNY]

https://twitter.com/EspuelasVox/status/1325146695391350793

This is literally the headline I've been waiting on for four years

You love to see it

[dspNY]

Curious as to what is left to count in Arizona. They dumped votes out of Phoenix this morning and Biden's statewide lead is about 20K.

[dspNY]

Is Arizona actually looking like a tossup now or not? I can't find any information on it other than that Biden shares on PredictIt are dropping slightly, though he's still at 80 for now, and Cohn saying that Biden is favored but Trump is "competitive" in the state.

It's not a tossup, but there is a path for Trump to take it.  He would need an unlikely but not ridiculous share of the remaining vote to overtake Biden.

What is the amount of outstanding vote in Arizona (Maricopa and elsewhere)?

[dspNY]

Apache County in AZ just released 1022 votes and Biden's lead increased by 674, if anyone still cares.

I care, I want that 306-232 map that will be karmic retribution against trump

[dspNY]

Slightly off topic, but has Jill Biden indicated what her platform as FLOTUS is going to be?

Laura Bush was childhood literacy, Michelle Obama was healthy eating and reducing obesity, and Melania's is reducing cyberbullying, however ironic that is.

Also, Biden now up 10K in Georgia. Pretty much over there.

Jill Biden will work in education and focus on military families (the Bidens were a military family before Beau passed away) and a military family always remains a military family

[dspNY]

Not sure we can just assume Biden would have lost those states if the Green party was on the ballot. A lot of those hypothetical voters may have just stayed home. But yes we absolutely should have ranked choice voting like Maine so they can be on the ballot and receive votes and it doesn't matter.

Correct. I don't think Green Party voters universally vote Democratic without a candidate on the ballot. Many of them stay home or keep the ballot blank for President. The one time where it made a huge difference was Florida 2000 where Gore definitely would have won without Nader on the ticket

[dspNY]

Another dump in Arizona. Biden's lead dropped to 16,952 votes

That was the last of the outstanding votes from Pinal County, which is red. There aren't that many left to count statewide, only 33,600 before provisionals are taken into account (and the provisionals will be Democratic leaning)

[dspNY]

Just curious as to how much is left to count in PA and GA? It can't be much in each of those states. We know that there are about 56K left to count in AZ

[dspNY]

OK, it is indeed a statewide hand recount of the presidential race:

Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger on Wednesday ordered a recount of all 5 million ballots cast in the presidential election to check initial results showing President-elect Joe Biden won by 14,000 votes.

Raffensperger, a Republican, said the recount will be conducted by hand in each of Georgia’s 159 counties, and it must be completed by a Nov. 20 deadline to finalize election results. Poll workers will review the printed text on ballots and then sort them into piles to check the accuracy of results.

The recount will be combined with a previously planned audit of paper ballots. But instead of auditing a relatively small sample of ballots, the review will encompass all ballots.

https://www.ajc.com/politics/georgia-launches-statewide-hand-recount-of-presidential-race/7PWR53SU6BAWDBOFRBJAW6HERA/

I believe three previous Georgia elections (not presidential) have been overturned by recount, but in those cases the margin was in the hundreds of votes or less.

Aren't most of Georgia's ballots on touch screen computers (aka they are not paper ballots)

[dspNY]

https://twitter.com/Tom_Schad/status/1327247853941641216

According to the article, State Farm Arena in Atlanta was the most-used sports venue, with nearly 40,000 voters!

So the NBA's decision to allow its arenas to be used as polling places materially turned one very important state Democratic