2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 29, 2024, 01:16:16 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 637549 times)
seb_pard
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 656
« on: November 03, 2020, 07:31:51 PM »

My comment about the the Chilean referendum in Miami. Important: Latinos in Florida are very different from the rest of the US

Another fact: Approve won in the US with 62.9%. The only part reject victory was in Miami (it reached 64.6% there). By any means I want to extrapolate but I have a theory that Latinos living in Miami (not only Cubans) are different from the rest. They are more upper class and invest a lot in real estate. Those people are more attracted to Trump and that is why I believe there is a strong possibility of Trump winning Florida despite a national swing to Biden (and a Biden EC victory).
Logged
seb_pard
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 656
« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2020, 12:00:30 AM »

How much vote is outstanding in PA now? Did Philly report? Is PA pretty much a done thing for Biden like we thought 8 hours ago when I went to bed?

What about Arizona. Any way that that is slipping from Biden?
175k ballots left in PA, 58k from Philly and 36k from Allegheny (those will be counted tomorrow)
Logged
seb_pard
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 656
« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2020, 02:02:46 PM »

Kind of crazy how Trump did better with non-white voters than any Republican nominee since 1960 and still lost!
The thing is minorities are a greater share of the electorate. Is more problematic losing them when they are more than 30% of the electorate than losing when they are like 15%. Minorities will still be a problem for the GOP as they share increases (they urgently need to increase their support, not keep their share).
Logged
seb_pard
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 656
« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2020, 08:53:33 PM »



This is disturbing and I think the man needs help but I had to laugh.

You people need to understand that for these people (a great share of the latin-american upper class) anything that means losing just an inch of privilege or cent from their wallets is communism. Latam is ed due to them (also corruption). They are so selfish no public policy is possible because they sabotage. At the end, you shouldn't be surprised why there are so many revolutionary movements and crazy politicians in our region, is because they swear to fight them. With them the new deal would have finished in a coup d'état finance by them.
Logged
seb_pard
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 656
« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2020, 06:31:58 PM »

6000 vote glitch in Mich. Could be definite ballot harvesting going on. Dem turnout was way higher cause of mail voting.

Margin in Michigan is 150,000+

Ok so 150,000+ vote glitch in MI, so Trump will still win IMO
Logged
seb_pard
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 656
« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2020, 06:50:14 PM »




Far right chilean "patriots" supporting Trump in front of the US embassy just before the announcement
Logged
seb_pard
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 656
« Reply #6 on: November 11, 2020, 08:25:14 PM »

https://vote.nyc/page/unofficial-absentee-totals

Let's hope they publish some results tonight
Logged
seb_pard
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 656
« Reply #7 on: November 29, 2020, 03:00:43 PM »

Well, according to NYC Board of Elections, all ballots were canvassed, and they will certify the election this Tuesday (once certified, they will publish the full results).

https://vote.nyc/page/unofficial-absentee-totals

Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.038 seconds with 10 queries.