2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 647099 times)
riceowl
riceowl315
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« on: November 03, 2020, 09:12:20 PM »

Is The NY Times map screwed up?  It shows Biden having 285,000 votes in LeHigh county in PA.  That can't be right?

Haha Kornacki just opened Lehigh and literally did a triple take and told the audience to please disregard
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 10:54:10 PM »

I must say I'm very proud of the duct tape holding this forum's server together
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2020, 01:04:22 PM »

I think that Georgia looks very unlikely, but how does the Times needle still favor Biden? What am I missing?
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2020, 01:08:26 PM »

I think that Georgia looks very unlikely, but how does the Times needle still favor Biden? What am I missing?

FWIW, the Times stopped updating the needles at 6am EST.  They're not going to change any further.

Oh thank you kind stranger!
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2020, 08:09:28 PM »

If that's the case then Biden should win Georgia

What are the chances that Ossoff is carried across the finish line?

If Biden wins Georgia then Perdue's seat is going to a runoff

I think this may actually work in favor for the Democrats. Having Ossoff & Warnock running together to win control of the Senate for the Democrats and having almost two months to campaign is a big deal. Also new voters can register by December 7th to vote in the Runoff Elections. It seems like Sleepy Joe has awakened. LOL

Also trying to figure out who would be excited about going to the polls to vote Perdue/Loeffler
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2020, 08:17:32 PM »

I must say I'm very proud of the duct tape holding this forum's server together

I know I'm quoting myself but I really am just so thrilled for this little old forum that I've frequented for 16 years staying alive all night.
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2020, 09:15:57 PM »

60-40 split of 400k votes gives 240-160k, which is 80k, which is not enough to surpass a 93k margin.
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2020, 09:55:33 AM »

NYT times reporting the exact number of uncounted ballots in GA is 61,367. Trump lead is 18,590 going into this final Batch. Biden will need to win about 65% of this last batch to take the lead.

It looks like the vast majority of these are metro ATL (Fulton, Clayton and Dekalb) votes, with some Chatham mail-ins thrown in the mix.

I have a strong sense of how this is going to turn out but I'm going to refrain from making a projection. Let's just wait for the final GA SOS update!

CNN posted this (below) about 45 minutes ago.
Is there about 61K votes left to count, or 90K ? This could be important to who wins GA ...

Here's a look at when we'll get updates from local officials today:

    10:30 a.m. ET: Georgia's Secretary of State will hold a news conference. There's currently a 33,000-vote margin between Trump and Biden, and there’s around 90,000 votes remaining to be counted.


Well now Biden is down 18K compared to 33K, so 60K sounds about right.

And if he nets 15 for every 30...!
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2020, 04:07:50 PM »


I really don't understand these numbers with what is being uploaded to, say the NYT results. Or is that everyone's confusion. Are they just not loading results but saying that they've counted them?
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2020, 05:50:43 PM »

The dashboard is pleasant and easy to use and reassuring. https://www.votespa.com/About-Elections/Pages/Counting-Dashboard.aspx
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2020, 08:56:19 PM »


72,470
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2020, 10:01:51 PM »

To all the Doomers

PaWiMi all have Dem governors that will override any "legislature picks the electors" shenanigans.

WI legislature already picked electors
in PA, the presidential candidate picks electors
MI were selected during state convention

https://electoralvotemap.com/how-are-electors-chosen/
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #12 on: November 06, 2020, 11:21:44 AM »

NBC finally calling for Kelly
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #13 on: November 06, 2020, 05:02:24 PM »

GA lead up to 4200!
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #14 on: November 06, 2020, 10:32:49 PM »



there's nothing big about this Joshie
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #15 on: November 07, 2020, 11:42:04 AM »

Fox calls PA AND NV
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #16 on: November 07, 2020, 12:55:59 PM »

Have any elected Republicans congratulated yet?
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #17 on: November 07, 2020, 08:46:10 PM »

Ugh, it's so normal sounding! I missed this!
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #18 on: November 08, 2020, 03:51:11 PM »

Where's Michael?!
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #19 on: November 11, 2020, 09:41:25 AM »

NBC just called Alaska; pres and senate
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #20 on: November 13, 2020, 02:24:08 PM »

CNN has called GA
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