2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)

[Horus]

Jennifer-Ruth Green out to an early lead in IN-01. I could see a potential upset here, she seems like a very strong candidate.

[Horus]

While Trump endorsed Vance, Mike Flynn endorsed Mandel. That stuck out to me. MAGA world is very divided here.

[Horus]

Madison made a huge mistake when he wore that bra.

[Horus]

Honestly, it doesn't look like a Barnette win is happening tonight. She's not doing strong enough with EDay votes.

Really hope you're wrong as a Barnette candidacy is the only way Fetterman can win.

[Horus]

Cawthorn and McGeachin lost, Oz is barely holding on, and Perdue is set to do terribly next week. Is the Trump endorsement starting to lose its magic?

[Horus]

Wow looks like Bordeaux is screwed.

Good riddance.

[Horus]

Before Herschel Walker was to claim his victory, his best friend said he had a special guest on the phone, former President Donald J. Trump. But when they patched him through, they got a busy signal. Now the event is on hold for Mr. Trump.

lmao

Wow looks like Bordeaux is screwed.

Good riddance.

What's so bad about Bordeaux? I know nothing about her other than she's a Gwinnett County Dem who won 62% of the GA-7 Asian voters in the Latino Decisions-adjacent poll from Nov 2020.

She's a Blue Dog.

[Horus]

Guest now at 51.2% with 76% in. He should hold on.

Palazzo otoh is probably DOA in the runoff.

[Horus]

The Iowa Senate D map is really weird. Fink winning the far east, west and north, Franken everywhere else. Something to do with media markets?

[Horus]

Only 66% reporting for the district with Mark “HUAC” Burns?

Looks like everything is in now and Timmons is holding on without around 52%. I'm not sure why he even faced a challenge from the right, he's been a Trump bootlicker every step of the way.

[Horus]

Wasserman just called MI-11 for Stevens

Yuck.

[Horus]

Levin up 18% with 37% in. Surprises me a bit.

Their vote shares just switched on NYT? Not sure what happened there

Probably a computer/entry error.

I've seen enough: Stevens wins this one.

TBH, that margin doesn't seem insurmountable if they counted earlies/mail-ins first. If not, though, yeah, I'm ready to call it.

Is there any reason to think Levin would benefit if they did? I don't recall progressive candidates doing better on same day votes than "moderate" Democrats in the 2020 or subsequent primaries compared to mail-in/early. My memory could be wrong on that though.

Yeah, election day votes saved Summer Lee in PA-12 for example. They tend to be more progressive than earlies or mail-ins.

But Stevens is a 2018 wave candidate and is not therefore a progressive cup of tea.

Levin works with the squad all the time and had the progressive support consolidated. There is no left wing antisemitism in the US and not a whole lot internationally either.

[Horus]

If Gibbs wins MI-03 Scholten is at least slightly favored, no?

[Horus]

This is a very male heavy forum and I think some of us, perhaps myself included, underestimated just how angry so many women are right now.

[Horus]

Notoriously slow Wayne county finally starting to drop.

[Horus]

Credit where it is due: Kunce is making this a much closer race against Busch Valentine than I initially thought.

I could see him winning Cleaver's seat when he retires. If he were in a friendlier state his future would be even brighter.

[Horus]

AZ-GOV R - Lake
AZ-AG R - Hamadeh
MI-6 R - Williams
MI-13 D - Thanedar

Uncalled:
WA-SOS Slot 2
WA-2 Slot 2
WA-3 Slot 2
WA-4
WA-7 Slot 2
WA-8 Slot 2
AZ-SOS D
AZ-4 R
KS-Treasurer R

I now accept my accolades!

Guy pretty much bought the seat though he also benefited from a free for all primary.

Remember this uncanny gem?

https://youtu.be/IEw1q1Tgy2s

[Horus]

F**k this. Kent is scum.

Kent is a lifelong Green Beret who served in Iraq/Afghanistan, who tragically lost his wife in Syria to a ISIS attack..

He subsequently made the decision to stand for Congress on a anti war platform.

He may be a flawed individual, but in no way would I describe him as "scum".

Anyone who refuses to acknowledge that Biden legitimately won the election, and/or had any involvement in the insurrection, is 'scum' and irredeemable. No exceptions.

Respectfully disagree.

One's character doesn't revolve around whether they acknowledge a "election winner"..

No, but one's intelligence does.

[Horus]

The Vermont Senate Republican primary between two boring candidates is far less interesting than the House one, where the current leading candidate is Liam Madden, an ex-Marine who led Iraq Veterans Against the War and cites Howard Zinn, Noam Chomsky, and Oliver Stone as inspirations on his campaign page.

edit: He also cites getting banned from social media for COVID skepticism and experiences on ayahuasca.

https://rebirthdemocracy.com/liams-story-1

If only the national GOP were this cool.

[Horus]

Really upset about Loomer's loss, she is a true queen. I bet it was rigged!

[Horus]

Maxwell Frost, a 25-year-old progressive candidate, won the open FL-10 Democratic primary-

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1562222642748440576

Shame that Cawthorn will forever hold the title of first gen Z congressman instead of this guy.

[Horus]

Also, Florida is gone for Dems. It is sucking in Republicans from all over the rest of the country. It's gone. Ignore it. Treat it like Idaho.

[Horus]

Early vote dump in NY-10:

Goldman 27.3
Niou 21.6
Jones 18.0
Rivera 15.3
Simon 7.4
Holtzman 5.4

Niou is leading in Brooklyn narrowly, Goldman well ahead in Manhattan.

While Goldman isn't my favorite, the only truly objectionable candidate in that race is Maud Maron who isn't even registering.

[Horus]

Apologies if this was mentioned before, but the brouhaha about New York having no Jewish reps in the House can be disregarded because three nominees are Jewish (Goldman, Nadler, Zimmerman in NY-3)

Don’t forget about Max Rose.

Yeah, but it's very unlikely that he wins.

Forgot about that.

Who do you think are going to be the freshmen in the next Congress? Jared Moskowitz, Dan Goldman, Robert Zimmerman, Becca Balint, and Max Miller are likely to get elected.

50/50 chance Lisa Scheller gets in too. Also Seth Magazine is the favorite in RI-02, though Fung could easily pull an upset.