If When Edwards wins reelection, this is what will save him.
You seem to be supremely confident about his chances. Given the ongoing trends of polarization, we cannot be certain about the outcome of this race. Edwards is favored, but it is not an automatic win for him.
Edwards: 51.7%
Rispone: 48.3%
That's my current prediction for how the runoff shapes up. A tighter-than-expected win for Edwards, but still quite comfortable given the two-way nature of the race. Rispone has a lot of work to do consolidating Abraham's supporters, and Edwards performed better this year than he did in the first round of 2015.
Poll
