Joe Biden 2020 campaign megathread v3 (pg 45 - mass-dropout aftermath)

[Gass3268]

Got bored tonight and plotted out Biden's 20 city campaign marathon that started 2/26:

https://twitter.com/jeneps/status/1221513081198665728?s=20



If anyone knows the other candidates last week schedule I'll do the same.

[Gass3268]

Biden was always going to do poorly in Iowa, but his collapse in NH is a bit alarming. I would not be surprised if some polls coming out of SC would show an erosion of his support to someone like Steyer, who has made inroad with the AA community.

The calendar is brutal for Biden. Imagine if South Carolina was in any position earlier in the caldenar than 4th.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/NBCNewsPR/status/1228818198386106380

About time

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/jeneps/status/1234274589544415232?s=20

[Gass3268]

In what universe are "almost all the races right after ST . . . gonna be Bernie friendly"?

Who is saying this? Some (ID, ND, WA, etc.) obviously are

I'm not in WA right now so I don't have a sense on the ground, but I'm really wondering if it will be as Sanders-friendly as conventional wisdom suggests. Bernie will do great in Seattle, Bellingham, and Olympia (probably Yakima as well), but I would expect him to lose a lot of votes in east King County, Snohomish, Pierce, and Clark. A lot of those votes may go to Warren or Bloomberg and not Biden, but a lot will. Clinton won the 2016 primary, Obama only narrowly won the 2008 primary, and the state is really anti-tax for its Democratic lean. The state also has a big healthcare industry which could be threatened under Medicare for All (I'm quite interested in how Spokane goes as it seems like anti-establishment Sanders country but also has a big reliance on healthcare).

If Sanders does win it, I don't expect a rout.

If Warren stays in she's going to do well in Washington.