Will Russia try to establish a second front of the war from Transnistria?

[Lykaon]

That being said, I am confident that Russia will eventually capture Odessa

This confidence is presumably due to something, but its certainly not their conduct of the war so far.

I think Russia will either win the war with all of its objectives achieved, or the war ends with a ceasefire and Putin caving to something like Minsk II because he's too focused on looking moderate. Ukraine's performance is contingent solely on Western support. Fatigue with sending materiel to the war effort will kick in as Russia simultaneously pours more troops into the conflict. The only way I don't see Russian troops in Odessa is if Ukraine calls for a ceasefire before this occurs.

Of course I also just think it would be funny if Transnistria was annexed into Russia because that's something we wouldn't have seen coming even five years ago. But nowadays there is growing sentiment in Russia to annex Abkhazia and South Ossetia rather than keeping them independent. So I think it's plausible if Russia gets a border with Moldova and down to the Danube out of this war, that Transnistria will be annexed. Same goes for the two breakaway Georgian republics sometime this decade.

This may be the stupidest take I’ve seen so far. Congratulations, you’ve been Putin’s Woodysucker, J-China, and global south guy.

Russia has no way of getting to Odesa. Let alone back across the Dnipro. Their chance to make it to Odesa was thwarted by the heroic stand by Ukrainian soldiers AND irregular civilian volunteer militias in Mykolaïv and Voznesensk, preventing a crossing of the Southern Bug and preventing the capture of Yuzhnoukraïnsk NPP.

Two major rivers, and the fact that Ukraine will send any landing ship approaching Odesa down to the depths to join Moskva make it impossible for this to happen. Western support will continue regardless. This war is too important to let Putin win. The US knows it, Europe knows it, and anyone opposed to the Moscow-Beijing Axis knows it