Will Russia try to establish a second front of the war from Transnistria?

[Oleg 🇰🇿🤝🇺🇦]

I do not understand what is the point for Russia to keep a paramilitary exclave, which is absolutely useless from a military point of view. Again, just so that the muzhiks had something to drink for?

[Oleg 🇰🇿🤝🇺🇦]

it destabilizes Moldova, prevents it from joining NATO and blocks any serious talk of reunification of Romania and Moldova.

Ukraine could create a precedent for NATO membership for a country whose part is occupied or annexed by Russia. We can also look from the point of view that with a smaller territory, it would be easier for Moldova to unite with Romania if Moldova renounces territorial claims to Transnistria. It hurts the patriots, but Transnistria will no longer bring anything good to Moldova, it's just a big criminal ghetto.

[Oleg 🇰🇿🤝🇺🇦]

The PRC has been doing this for a long time, through Hong Kong. Iran has been supplying UAVs to Russia for a long time. Belarus is simply annexed by Russia, they have a single state, so it makes no sense to talk about them as two separate independent countries. Similarly, it makes no sense to talk about Hamas, Hezbollah, the PMF and the Houthis as something separate from Iran. North Korea also provides military support to Russia.

But Russia somehow keeps getting its bell rung.

[Oleg 🇰🇿🤝🇺🇦]

At the beginning of a full-scale war, the Russian media very intensively broadcast a video of Assad's soldiers holding some kind of rally, and the announcers presented it as a voluntary recruitment of Syrians to the anti-Ukrainian front. But a few days later, for some unknown reason, any information about this was sucked into a black hole.

[Oleg 🇰🇿🤝🇺🇦]

Lukashenko has supplied Russia with plenty already, and will continue to do so for this very reason. Every Belarusian tank which ends up in the Russian army is one less reason for Putin to pressure Lukashenko to send in the Belarusian army.

By the way, recently in an interview with a pseudo-Ukrainian ruscist journalist, Lukashenko said that Belarus and Russia have a joint army. This can be considered a frank admission that thanks to Lukashenko, Belarus was quietly annexed.

[Oleg 🇰🇿🤝🇺🇦]

I think Russia will either win the war with all of its objectives achieved, or the war ends with a ceasefire and Putin caving to something like Minsk II because he's too focused on looking moderate.

This dude flooded his own defense line with a catastrophic dam explosion, tried to destroy the Ukrainian electricity grid and mined the ZNPP. He also conducts massive attacks with missiles, aerial bombs and powerful Iranian drones on civilian infrastructure almost every two weeks. Obviously, he's NOT trying to looking moderate.

[Oleg 🇰🇿🤝🇺🇦]

Also I don't know who those guys are.

You can see them next to you if you look behind the office partition.