What is the main takeaway from the 2023 election cycle? (user search)
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  What is the main takeaway from the 2023 election cycle? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: ^
#1
GOP turnout and enthusiasm without Trump is lower
 
#2
Dem turnout and enthusiasm without Biden is higher
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 55

Author Topic: What is the main takeaway from the 2023 election cycle?  (Read 978 times)
The Economy is Getting Worse
riverwalk3
YaBB God
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Posts: 3,740
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.93, S: -3.83

P
« on: November 08, 2023, 10:08:53 AM »

None of the above. Split ticketing is alive, as evidenced by the 17 point delta between Reeves and the other MS candidates, and the 20+ point delta between Cameron and other candidates. Youngkin did okay, tying the popular vote in a Biden +10 state and losing 1 seat majorities in both chambers.

Overall, this makes me more bullish on Brown and Tester, but otherwise my predictions don't change much.
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The Economy is Getting Worse
riverwalk3
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,740
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.93, S: -3.83

P
« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2023, 11:00:40 AM »

Overall, this makes me more bullish on Brown and Tester, but otherwise my predictions don't change much.

Sure, but still not that bullish. The McCaffery swing would not have been enough, if replicated, to reelect Brown, much less Tester, though I guess he was also not an incumbent.
Beshear and Pressley both outran the other candidates in their state by 15+.
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