Will Russia try to establish a second front of the war from Transnistria?

[All Along The Watchtower]

I doubt Russia has the military capabilities to do so. There are even some military analysts expecting them to run of material as soon as this fall.

I think China, Iran, Belarus, Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, and the PMF will start supplying Russia with supplies if that were to happen.

And what "supplies" do these groups have to send, even if they wanted to?

Also, we’ve seen that Lukashenko is not particularly interested in assisting Putin with his personal Vietnam—if only for his own domestic political (and personal) survival.

[All Along The Watchtower]

Russian propaganda loves to assert "we haven't even been trying up to now!".

Which really does raise all sorts of questions.

Putin expected his Military Special Operation to be quick and easy in large part because his intelligence briefers were telling him that they had recruited tons of Ukrainian assets/collaborators who were just desperate for Moscow's help to overthrow Zelenskky and reunite Little Russia with its big brother.