2008 Primaries: All states vote on the same day (user search)
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  2008 Primaries: All states vote on the same day (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2008 Primaries: All states vote on the same day  (Read 5394 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,479
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« on: April 30, 2009, 12:18:18 PM »

Assuming that Obama would run in Michigan :


Either Clinton and Obama got less huge scores in the states they win but Obama's Iowa momentum is diffused in the whole country and he comfortably wins.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,479
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #1 on: April 30, 2009, 02:45:31 PM »

I don't know how it would have turned out, but it'd be a much more sensible and reasonable system.

Agreed.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,479
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #2 on: April 30, 2009, 03:36:27 PM »

Here are my own maps...

Democrats:
Obama-Green
Clinton-Red
Richardon-Gray
Edwards-Blue



Republicans:
Blue-Romney
Red-Huckabee
Green-Guiliani
Gray-McCain



Why does everyone think that Obama would lose badly against Clinton ?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,479
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #3 on: May 01, 2009, 02:38:53 AM »

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Look at polls before the Iowa caucus...Clinton was still leading Obama nationwide by a large %. Obama didn't have the momentum of winning states.

And precisely he overperformed in Iowa. Obama's support rose and fell during the democratic campaign. When he won Iowa, it was one of his best momentums.
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