CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6 (user search)
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  CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6  (Read 121622 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #25 on: August 15, 2018, 08:20:45 AM »

I think other (worse) tweets got brought up in the relevant thread, but admittedly I haven't followed it too closely. But I got the sense it was pretty serious.

Ok, I found this:

https://www.jta.org/2018/08/15/news-opinion/ilhan-omar-called-israel-apartheid-regime-wins-congressional-primary-minnesota

Quote
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That's pretty bad, but looking at the rest of the article, it appears she's moderated since then especially now that she's running for office. That's good enough for me.

OK, fair enough. It could have been a lot worse, yeah. Definitely glad Waltz and Radinovich made it.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #26 on: August 15, 2018, 11:48:55 AM »

...after getting it watered down on something, iirc? This was also a discussion from the relevant thread.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #27 on: August 15, 2018, 01:04:28 PM »

...all right, nvm. I guess I checked out of that thread at some point and must have missed part of it.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #28 on: August 16, 2018, 05:35:39 AM »

One thing I think some people need to be reminded of is that primary electorates on a county by county basis more so reflect the traditional and historical nature of the county rather than how it votes in general elections. We may see a sort of return to 2012-like political geography in some 2018 races but to say 2016 was a fluke and that Republicans are no longer going to win the Midwest is just plain delusion.

Who wins the Midwest is going to depend on what Democrats actually do. If they keep pursuing muh Suburban Strategy Smiley Smiley Smiley and ignoring the reality that working people in this country actually live in like they did in 2016, then yeah, it won't be a fluke. If they actually go back to trying to pretend to care about that stuff though, and are smart enough to point out that the GOP's ~populism is phony, they could easily regain it.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #29 on: August 22, 2018, 11:39:17 AM »

Well, sounds like it was an exceptionally boring primary night. Glad I spent it asleep. Tongue
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #30 on: August 29, 2018, 04:40:06 AM »

Well, Gillum was a good surprise! It's f**king frustrating to see Shalala win so narrowly, but win some lose some I guess.

Isn't it kind of concerning that Republicans won more primary votes though? I know primary turnout isn't representative, but Democrats had a more contested race for Governor so if anything I'd expect them to be overrepresented. Am I missing something.

Arizona seems like a snoozefest.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #31 on: August 29, 2018, 11:48:40 AM »

Well, Gillum was a good surprise! It's f**king frustrating to see Shalala win so narrowly, but win some lose some I guess.

Isn't it kind of concerning that Republicans won more primary votes though? I know primary turnout isn't representative, but Democrats had a more contested race for Governor so if anything I'd expect them to be overrepresented. Am I missing something.

Arizona seems like a snoozefest.
FL always has a primary turnout advantage, and, in fact, we narrowed it, fro 56-44, to 53-47.

What was it in a more Dem-friendly year, like say 2012?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #32 on: August 29, 2018, 12:19:43 PM »

I see.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #33 on: August 29, 2018, 01:51:31 PM »

Updating the Senate Primary Turnout Map: Republicans win Arizona 56%-44%. Dems should be able to win the turnout battle in the 4 states that remain (MA, DE, RI, NY), so we now know what the map's forecast is: Republicans will have a net gain of 5 seats, putting their senate majority at 56-44. Congrats Krazen if this reflects reality.



Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #34 on: September 05, 2018, 04:48:32 PM »

Capuano really didn't deserve to lose. With all the awful milquetoast deadweights we have in the Dem caucus, why in the world are we primarying solid progressives like him?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #35 on: September 05, 2018, 05:50:00 PM »

Well, he was primaried because Pressley is ambitious and was bored of waiting and made the calculation that it was better to risk a challenge - after all Capuano had not fought a contested election in twenty years, that debacle of a Senate run aside - than waiting any longer.

...I mean, yeah, of course. I'm just baffled that she got any support, I guess.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #36 on: September 06, 2018, 02:01:59 PM »

Carper's opponent in the primary, Harris, has published her plan to take the seat in an article:

https://medium.com/kerri-evelyn-harris-for-delaware/how-we-win-my-final-report-39d0d94b42aa

I know it's most likely wishful thinking, but... please let it be true please let it be true please let it be true please let it be true please let it be true please let it be true please let it be true
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #37 on: September 06, 2018, 08:06:25 PM »

Not a surprise but still awful.

Whatever. Delaware is a stupid State that shouldn't even exist.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #38 on: September 06, 2018, 08:37:53 PM »

Not a surprise but still awful.

Whatever. Delaware is a stupid State that shouldn't even exist.

Who should take them? Maryland or New Jersey?

Maryland would be the aesthetically rational choice, but I'm willing to hear arguments for PA and NJ.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #39 on: September 07, 2018, 01:05:35 AM »

36% is a start. We have 6 years to build on it and mount a more serious challenge. Let's get to it.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #40 on: September 07, 2018, 06:41:42 PM »


What specific issues is Koh to Trahan's left on?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #41 on: September 07, 2018, 06:53:23 PM »

What specific issues is Koh to Trahan's left on?

M4A, free public college (he supports both, she opposes both).

OK yeah, Koh is the obvious choice.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #42 on: September 08, 2018, 11:43:23 AM »

Cant wait to see the IDC crushed next week



please please please please
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #43 on: September 11, 2018, 05:08:19 PM »

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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #44 on: September 11, 2018, 06:35:09 PM »

DOMINATING
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #45 on: September 11, 2018, 06:39:33 PM »

What's the official explanation if Pappas (male) wins over Sullivan (female)? Tongue



So you're saying he's a "honorary woman" in the same way the Japanese were "honorary Aryans"? Tongue
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #46 on: September 11, 2018, 06:44:29 PM »

Was Manchester expected to be a particularly strong area for Edwards? Or is Sanborn flopping?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #47 on: September 11, 2018, 07:02:33 PM »



LET'S GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

LMAO.
WOO LET'S GO CHRIS

ayyy lmao
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #48 on: September 11, 2018, 07:11:06 PM »

Can we please get a WULFRIC PROJECTION for Pappas now? Thx.

yeah, that's what the entire world is waiting for
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,360
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #49 on: September 11, 2018, 07:17:17 PM »

Huh, looks like Edwards is running away with this too.
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