MT Congressional Redistricting (user search)
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  MT Congressional Redistricting (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Will Republicans safely hold 2 Montana seats?
#1
Yes - Leftier district will be at least Likely R
 
#2
No - Western district will be Lean R at worst for Dems
 
#3
Montana will not actually gain a second seat
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 115

Author Topic: MT Congressional Redistricting  (Read 23409 times)
BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« on: October 21, 2021, 01:20:13 PM »
« edited: October 21, 2021, 01:28:09 PM by BoiseBoy »

The following map has been offered as a consensus proposal. It is a variant of Proposal 4. The total population deviation is 0.07%. This map only splits Flathead County, whereas the original version of P4 split Flathead, Pondera, and Glacier.


If the map were to be accepted, MT-01 would be R+1.7 and MT-02 would be R+33.1 by 2020 Presidential data. The original P4 was R+2.8 and R+31.8 respectively.



The meeting is in recess until 1:15 MST.
Logged
BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2021, 01:24:26 PM »

What would the western district's partisanship be - Trump +2 or something?
I've just edited the post to include a DRA rendition.
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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2021, 02:13:46 PM »

It is important to keep in mind that this map is only being selected as one that will be available for public comment when the next meeting is held October 30. No matter what map is selected for that purpose, it will not likely be the final enacted map for 2022.
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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2021, 02:24:12 PM »

Also how much did Tester get in 2018 in that western district?
Tester +16.1
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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2021, 02:28:13 PM »

Another proposal:

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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2021, 02:31:23 PM »

Dan Stusek
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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2021, 02:34:05 PM »

That's a strange one. It splits Gallatin, but appears to put Bozeman in the western district. I can't quite tell what's going on with Helena though.
All of Helena/Lewis & Clark is in the east district. MT-01 is R+8.3 and MT-02 R+25.3
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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2021, 03:19:42 PM »

Third map from today:
Logged
BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2021, 03:56:13 PM »


Not sure why that one splits two counties. The western district is Trump+2.5 in that map.
They are taking another break and will be back in a few minutes with at least two more proposals. One county split seems to be a semi-solid goal for right now.
Logged
BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2021, 04:15:41 PM »
« Edited: October 21, 2021, 04:31:43 PM by BoiseBoy »

Another proposal from the GOP side:



MT-01: R+6.9
MT-02: R+26.9

From the DEM side:



MT-01: R+3.6
MT-02: R+31.3
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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2021, 05:13:53 PM »

It seems they just agreed to advance two maps?
They have. Public comment will be allowed during the 10/30 meeting. If after that point another map cannot be drawn based on feedback, the chair will pick either of the two proposed maps.
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