Will Republicans become more moderate on abortion if 2022 goes poorly for them?

[Schiff for Senate]

They can't. They count on the religious right, and if they moderate on abortion and that UPSETS the religious right, that could backfire immensely. The religious right is a vocal minority nationally, but a vocal majority and powerful component of the GOP.

In terms of the poll, Option 2 or Option 3. Most certainly not Option 4 (the base is religious right, socially conservative, and pro-life, and I can't imagine them wanting to moderate on abortion even after a smashing political loss...generally, the party is more politically strategic than its voters, and that's especially true for such an Emotional Issue, where feelings are deep-set and often uncompromisable as far as the Religious Right goes).