2020 Absentee/Early Voting megathread 2

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Obama ripping Trump on Puerto Rico in his Florida rally. Talking about how he didn't help Puerto Rico when there was a hurricane and that he considered selling Puerto Rico. Seems like a play at charging the Puerto Rican turnout.

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Can the GOP please keep running McSally in every GOP congressional seat in AZ until the entire AZ congressional delegation is blue?

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TargetSmart is garbage, how would they know how did early voters vote?

Most likely they are looking at the vote on county basis and modelling what the vote might be based on past election results in that county. That approach is not entirely unreasonable with states and counties that are very stable (eg NV or NC), however voting behavior of some large TX counties has changed so rapidly in such little time (eg Denton going from R+30 in 2012 to R+20 in 2016 to R+8 in 2018) that such analysis yields weird results.

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Regardless of how nice it is to have for analysis, it seems crazy to me that voters in some states have to specify their race when registering. Like what relevance does that have to voting and seems like something that could be weaponized against PoCs.

USA must be the only country in the world that does this.

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Regardless of how nice it is to have for analysis, it seems crazy to me that voters in some states have to specify their race when registering. Like what relevance does that have to voting and seems like something that could be weaponized against PoCs.

USA must be the only country in the world that does this.

 This occurs in historically racist states that discriminated against minorities and primarily Black voters. Collecting the data actually makes it much easier to see and fight that discrimination. Without the data the cases of misconduct would be harder to prove. Right now even with the data conservative legislators and judges still "see no evil, hear no evil" even when the data overwhelming shows disenfranchisement.

I think they actually started doing that after the Voting Rights Act was passed to make sure it was having the desired effect of increasing voter registration among minority groups who had previously been denied to right to vote.

Thanks for the context, that makes a lot more sense and explains why this stat is only available in mostly southern state.

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https://twitter.com/JohnRSamuelsen/status/1321378210144227330

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hot take: the reason SCOTUS is sort of leaving the PA case open is because Dems have returned their ballots at such a high rate and are so educated on the issue that the majority of late ballots might actually be REPUBLICAN.

You may be right. These ballots will be set aside and then, if they can influence the result, and if Trump is in the lead, will be thrown out.

Right, wouldn't be surprised if Alito and other garbage Judges want to know what the results of the late ballots are before deciding if they count or not.  They might even expand the deadline if they think it would help Trump.  (I'm assuming they are setting them aside by date received)

Good move by the PA attorney general to order the poll workers to not mix late arriving ballots with the on time ballots (eventhough the directive is getting heat on twitter from the left). A vast overwhelming majority of ballots are gonna arrive on time. This protects the Ds from SCOTUS shenanigans if these ballots are isolated. If you couldn't tell which ballots were early and which late I could see all mail ballots being called into question.