Alberta election 2023

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Why is the thinking that the NDP majorities in Edmonton will be down from 2015, Smith seems like she is designed to repeal Edmonton voters.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Camrose with a slightly decent chunk of votes too, big swings towards NDP

If it's a big chunk, it's probably advance vote which is likley to favour the NDP. Can't take away anything until a district is fully in.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

For someone not very familiar with Canadian (let alone Albertan) politics, why is Calgary dramatically more conservative than Edmonton?  Is it just about oil?

It's primarily about oil. Pretty much all of Alberta's oil & gas companies are headquartered in Calgary. Calgary is home to white collar conservatism because of this.

Thought it does elect progressive municipal politicans for some reason

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

I asked this question before, but i'm just confused why the swings and expectations for the NDP in Edmonton were so low compared to 2015 ?

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

For the 41 ridings outside of the cities of Edmonton and Calgary, the UCP share of the vote increased in 18 ridings and declined in 23. The NDP share of the vote increased in 38 ridings and declined in 3.

The ridings with NDP vote share declines were Central Peace-Notley where Marg McCauig Boyd, the Energy Minister was running for reelection in 2019, Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo and Lesser Slave Lake.

I find it funny just how right wing the district is, despite being named after Notleys Father.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

It could be worse, you could be the UK.

It could be worse, you could be Singapore where poll results are considered state secrets and electoral observers are not allowed to share them publicly. So the only way to get them is to join telegram groups with laser-eyed 16-year-old ET twitter users.