Texas 2022 megathread

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

I just left country themed A&M Bar in College Station, It was packed with trump supporting Aggies whispering about just how much of a terrible job Abbot was doing and how extreme the Texas abortion ban was.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

I have serious doubts it'll be that close.

Beto isnt gonna win by THAT much

He's going to come much closer than people here think.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

https://twitter.com/scottbraddock/status/1579226077045854208

Beto is somehow winning the sign war in rural Texas, at least the hill country area. Saw more Beto signs than republican signs on my road trip

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Abbot a UT graduate was cheared at an A&M game when he came on the field. Make of that what you will

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Beto is coming back to A&M the day before the election
 Hopefully we'll be able to fill up the theater just like we did the auditorium the last time he came on campus.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Beto is coming back to A&M the day before the election
 Hopefully we'll be able to fill up the theater just like we did the auditorium the last time he came on campus.

I’m interested in seeing how Brazos County trends/swings this time around. Abbott is undeniably winning it by at least 10, but does he keep the MOV above 15 or does it vote slightly left of 2020?

I'm almost certain the county will trend left, and do think it's more likley than not to swing left from the 2020 presidental election.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Abbot a UT graduate was cheared at an A&M game when he came on the field. Make of that what you will

What year was that?

I remember back when I lived in Tejas, there was a HUGE deal about Texas A&M joining the SEC, so some of the traditional football rivalry might well have dissipated by now.

Also Texas A&M has long been considered a relatively "conservative" University in Tejas over the years, especially with their whole military tradition thing.

Not sure if Abbot being cheered at a Texas A&M game is necessarily indicative of college and university student voters in Texas...

Well I was at the game, so 2022. Though the demographic of college football fan is clearly more conservative than the actual student body, just found it a bit ironic given the historical rivalry.

Honestly the conservative reputation here is a bit overblown and fading, it's still conservative by the standards of a public universety but I wouldn't be suprised if the student precints had another 20% left swing this year.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Abbot a UT graduate was cheared at an A&M game when he came on the field. Make of that what you will

What year was that?

I remember back when I lived in Tejas, there was a HUGE deal about Texas A&M joining the SEC, so some of the traditional football rivalry might well have dissipated by now.

Also Texas A&M has long been considered a relatively "conservative" University in Tejas over the years, especially with their whole military tradition thing.

Not sure if Abbot being cheered at a Texas A&M game is necessarily indicative of college and university student voters in Texas...

There's basically two "college student" voter blocks in Texas. The first is Christian Baptist and/or evangelical, the latter is...everyone else. The former is profoundly Republican and has contributed to A&M having a deservedly conservative reputation.

Student transplants are much likelier to not be plugged into this conservative southern Christian culture and so might vote differently.

Sounds straight legit street cred from back in late '12 and early '13 in Houston, Texas...

Guy called "Perry" (Names changed to protect the innocent and all that), was a TX A & M grad from a few miles down the road, worked in the same subcontract gig as I did in a major tech / manufacturing industry in metro H-Town.

Still, believe I ran some student precinct numbers from Texas A&M back in '16 and or '20.

Extreme Republican challenged me on a few of my campus precinct numbers way back in the dayz (Thinking likely around the '16 GE-PRES results from college precincts somewhere in Louisiana?

Bit tipsy and not on my immediate fingertips, but pretty sure I ran a precinct map with % numbers from College Station within something like the past 5-7 years.

Seemed pretty clear that DEMs won the undergrad and student dorm vote if I recall, will need to double check.

I did that, campus precints and student housing close to campus is all democrat but not overwhelimingly so. The suburbs of Cstat are much redder and so is the surrounding community. Biden did flip Bryan though.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Well, disappointed to see that Beto couldn't hold his 2018 margins in DFW, though I suppose that was unlikely. Definitely didn't see the organizational strength from his campaign that Republicans had in my area, despite the energetic rallies, so Democrats in Texas really need to go back to the drawing board as far as our ground game is concerned imo.

I know the data they gave me was pretty bad, I was supposed to be doing democratic GOTV but I was mostly knocking on republican doors.