Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread (user search)
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Author Topic: Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread  (Read 268442 times)
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« on: November 16, 2020, 03:18:39 PM »

Karl Rove has seen enough of the liberal crapshow in our Country and has been appointed to serve as Finance Chair to the Georgia Battleground Fund, a joint Fundraising Committee between the GA Battleground Fund & the NRSC

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/16/karl-rove-fundraising-georgia-runoffs-436783

Ossoff & Warnock will be heavily outspend. Dan Quale, Haley, Barbour, etc among others are involved.

You liberals did a lot to make even Establishment Republicans very, very angry.

Karl Rove? Bro I am literally shaking right now.

Ratings changes:

GA-Sen Regular: Likely R -> Titanium R
GA-SEN Special: Lean D -> Likely R (Not Safe R because Loeffler is a weak candidate imo)
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #1 on: November 21, 2020, 12:56:04 AM »


KING OF THE SUBURBS DAVID PERDUE

Disgusting
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #2 on: November 23, 2020, 07:46:30 PM »


What would we do without leaders like Senator Daines? The people of Montana are truly blessed.
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #3 on: November 29, 2020, 06:19:50 PM »

Well, Ossoff retweeted his tweet so I guess he's fine with his endorsement.

Sanders would definitely have lost Georgia if he was the nominee and probably the entire election as well.

And Sanders' endorsement to Ossoff and Warnock will likely reinforce the warning that if the Dems take the Senate, Bernie Sanders would be in line to become Chairman of the Senate Committee on Budget, which means a vote for Ossoff and Warnock is a vote for a socialist takeover of the budget, for much more deficit, for out of control spending, of trillions of dollars of new taxes.

Don’t threaten us with a good time.
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #4 on: December 05, 2020, 09:02:29 PM »
« Edited: December 05, 2020, 09:08:43 PM by Perdue-Warnock voter 4 Candidate Quality »




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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #5 on: December 06, 2020, 06:25:12 PM »

A moment of silence for Perdue Chicken.
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #6 on: December 06, 2020, 07:35:35 PM »

Take a shot everytime Loeffler says: “Radical Liberal”

Don’t actually do this if you care about your health
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #7 on: December 06, 2020, 07:42:01 PM »

Guys, My screen name is no joke.
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #8 on: December 06, 2020, 07:46:36 PM »

Why do you prefer these candidates over their respective opponents?

Candidate Quality™ Of course


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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #9 on: December 07, 2020, 02:56:10 AM »

I was scrolling through Ossoff’s tiktok, and he definitely is running an energetic campaign, far more so than Warnock. Ossoff seems to be taking a #populist tone against Perdue. I think he may do better than we thought.
Yeah I think the Perdue/Ossoff race will be closer than the Loeffler/Warnock one at this point.
Because of TikTok... lmao. K.

TIL Jon Ossoff has a TikTok account
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #10 on: December 08, 2020, 04:42:14 PM »

apparently 7% of voters who are voting in the runoffs did not vote in the general, I wonder who they are? its weird

My take is that it's voters who now realize that their vote actually matters, but idk if this group is primarily red or blue.

Republican turnout in the general was nearly 90%, so I'd be astonished if they're managing to turn out voters who didn't vote in the general at this point.

Inshallah. I also know that voter registration groups (at least the ones I've worked with) have been mega focused on voters who turn 18 between the election and the runoff, so that's probably at least a significant part of that group, and I have to imagine that those voters are overwhelmingly Democratic.
They are Ossoff Loeffler voters.
They love Ossoff because he is a cute young millennial, but they also are voting Loeffler because they want one male and female for equality.

I don’t think that’s the reason they’re voting against Warnock....

It’s because, for some reason they don’t support Strong, Quality, Candidates and want unelectable, weak clowns like Ossoff and Loeffler. Bunch of weirdos, aren’t they?
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #11 on: December 11, 2020, 11:54:47 PM »

Honestly, if Steve Daines was the GOP nominee, the GOP would have veto proof majorities in both houses right now. Biden is lucky.

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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #12 on: December 12, 2020, 12:19:35 AM »

I really don't get why Atlas obsesses over people like Daines going to GA to support the Republican canidates. Ultimately, very very few GA voters know who Steve Daines is, and the ones who do know him are probably politically engaged enough to the point where they are certain to vote, and have already made up their mind. The only surrogates with real power are those with big names like Trump or Obama, everything else is just a bunch of drama, just drama.

Again, this election will come down to turnout; both sides have the votes to win these runoffs, it's just a question of how well the voters are activated. There are very few swing voters, let alone those who care about Steve Daine's bipartisan bills, and for the few undecided voters, Steve Daines will have very little influence over their voting choice.

How about instead of having pages of political drama, we actually try to analyze the numbers we do have to do our best to try to pin down where these races stand? Sure, early voting isn't the end all be all, but certainly did in hindsight give us some clues into states like FL, TX, and yes, GA.

If I see one more post about Steve Daines in this thread, I’m going to flip out, and trust me, you do not want to see the angry Progressive Moderate

Sir, this is a meme blog.

I respectfully disagree strongly; this is Atlas. Sometimes we’re a bit silly, but this forum is supposed to be serious. If all y’all are really so obsessed with Steve Daines, why not start a Steve Daines fandom?

Also; because of the continuation of posts about Steve Daines, I’m afraid this thread is going to get some cursed Senate runoff maps tomorrow from an angry progressive moderate. For reference, this is what happened last time there was an angry ProgressiveModerate: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=406876.0


Sir, do you have a moment to speak about our lord and savior, Senator Steve Daines?
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #13 on: December 12, 2020, 12:44:55 AM »


I read the whole thing, and honestly lost brain cells. 
How is sending Steve Daines and a bunch of right wing kooks to Georgia supposed to help the GOP?

Beats me. I guess Palin, Gohmert and MTG can rile up the hardcore base, but Daines being there doesn't make any sense.

Daines automatically gives any political candidate he campaigns for an extra 15% of the vote. This race is over.
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #14 on: December 13, 2020, 04:02:00 PM »

https://www.newsweek.com/kelly-loeffler-slammed-posing-former-kkk-leader-ahead-georgia-runoff-elections-1554401

Suburban women are going to lap this up, well done Brian Kemp. Hope some KKKelly ads are in the works, and I'm so glad that she beat Collins.

More bad choices from Weak Candidate Kelly Loeffler.

Rating change:

Likely D -> Safe D

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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #15 on: December 16, 2020, 06:31:37 PM »

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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #16 on: December 22, 2020, 05:33:31 PM »

If Democrats are counting on Trump voters not turning out (especially when they've repeatedly underestimated how loyal they are to Trump/GOP), then they deserve to lose these races and probably will.
Well we’re not, so..... stop trying to equate out of touch Election Twitter people with grassroots orgs on the ground, most of which are led by Black women who would never say such a thing....

... which is why I said "if."

I don't think anyone is "counting on" them to sit it out, but what evidence is there that Trump voters come out to vote when he's not on the ballot? That's basically why 2018 ended up being a blue wave. Trump brings out those low propensity voters to HIS elections, but there isn't much evidence they come out as much in elections he's not a part of...

No, it was a blue wave because, A. Midterms are typically awful for the incumbent President B. Trump was unpopular (His approval was about 45%) and C. Healthcare was the main issue people voted on that year, and since 2017, Healthcare has been a winning issue for the Democrats. D. Trump accelerated the trends in suburban areas he did poorly in, in 2016. Places like VA-10, MN-3, and TX-7 didn’t flip because Trumpists stayed home.
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #17 on: December 22, 2020, 09:35:14 PM »

Yawn. This is old news.
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #18 on: December 28, 2020, 12:14:09 AM »

Anytime MillennialModerate talks about Georgia, Perdue and Loeffler’s chances of losing go up by 1%.
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #19 on: December 29, 2020, 06:33:06 PM »



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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #20 on: December 30, 2020, 09:42:25 PM »

Bitecoffer said today she has never analyzed a race before where the ev was so good for one party and  that party ended up losing

In fact, I would argue the ev for dems in these Georgia races is better than any ev data in any election since 2014

literally the first rule of politics: don't predict elections based on early voting.

I cannot believe you exprienced the 2014, 2016, and 2020 elections and still think early voting can predict outcomes.

Also imagine taking Rachel Bitcofer seriously, lol
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #21 on: December 31, 2020, 11:44:21 AM »

Now, he’s only going to win Cobb by 10. Not enough to offset Ossoff’s margins in the #Populist  Purple heart rurals.

RIP HP
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #22 on: December 31, 2020, 01:59:28 PM »

Today the beginning of the end for the Republican Party. Young Kim will be their undoing.
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #23 on: December 31, 2020, 02:06:42 PM »

Just look at this, guys.




It’s over, Perdue might as well start writing his concession speech. It’s not even going to be close, and don’t even get me started on LOLffler, who was DOA from the start. If Chuck Schumer is Majority Leader in January, he has no one but Rep. Young Kim (R-CA) to thank.
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,605
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #24 on: December 31, 2020, 02:24:15 PM »

Perdue’s support in the suburbs is crumbling into dust as we speak. At this rate he might lose by more than Loeffler.
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