The Universal Law Of Minnesota Elections:
~ 45% = R percentage
~ 55% minus 3rd party percentage = D percentage
Almost universal. Amy Klobuchar is the lone Democrat in recent years who has consistently gotten above 55% statewide, receiving 58% in 2006, 65% in 2012, and 60% in 2018.
I'm excited to see how she does in 2024. I think she will receive her lowest percentage yet, but still outperform the presidential candidate. It'll be interesting to see how Schumer does this year, as there were a ton of Trump-Schumer split-ticket voters in 2016, but I expect him to lose pretty much all of upstate New York this year.
Poll
