2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI) (user search)
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  2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 87815 times)
ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #75 on: August 23, 2022, 08:51:47 PM »

A bit ironic how Niou got just 11 votes in her home precinct (Goldman only got 22 though)

Her successor in her Assembly seat refusing to endorse her did not help, I'm sure.

Her seat is the definition of Goldman's base (and the anti-defintion of her own base). Home to several very expensive high-rise Condos in lower Manhattan and is right next to wall street.

Again though I'm shocked that even in this type of precinct turnout was so bad. A total of 61 votes were cast even though if you just look at Niou's building there has to be at least  200-300 voting age adults.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #76 on: August 23, 2022, 08:52:26 PM »

Is NY-10 really nearly done counting? NYTimes has it at >95% but they seem to be incredibly off sometimes...

It was at 95% at 47k in now we have 56k so they are def off, the question is just how much. If there's something like 10k more outstanding votes then Niou def has a shot but if it's basically done then Goldman wins

And now it's at 60k lol. Niou is still 700 votes short.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #77 on: August 23, 2022, 08:58:21 PM »

A bit ironic how Niou got just 11 votes in her home precinct (Goldman only got 22 though)

Her successor in her Assembly seat refusing to endorse her did not help, I'm sure.

Her seat is the definition of Goldman's base (and the anti-defintion of her own base). Home to several very expensive high-rise Condos in lower Manhattan and is right next to wall street.

Again though I'm shocked that even in this type of precinct turnout was so bad. A total of 61 votes were cast even though if you just look at Niou's building there has to be at least  200-300 voting age adults.

Her seat also includes Chinatown, which she won solidly in this primary. The Financial District has woefully terrible turnout because it's very young and no one lives there for longer than 3-4 years.

How does a young person buy a 4 million dollar condo to just live in for 3 or 4 years lol?
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #78 on: August 23, 2022, 09:03:27 PM »


According to Cincy's map, the unreported precincts are either in Fi-Di (which should net Goldman) or in the Alphabet City area which Rivera and Niou have been winning. My guess is Niou doesn't make up the 700 vote defecit but it'll be close.

I also like how Rivera got 79/108 votes in one precinct-wonder what caused that.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #79 on: August 23, 2022, 09:04:17 PM »

Now apparently 10% of the vote is left in Brooklyn.

I knew there was no way only 50k votes had been cast.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #80 on: August 23, 2022, 09:07:41 PM »


According to Cincy's map, the unreported precincts are either in Fi-Di (which should net Goldman) or in the Alphabet City area which Rivera and Niou have been winning. My guess is Niou doesn't make up the 700 vote defecit but it'll be close.

I also like how Rivera got 79/108 votes in one precinct-wonder what caused that.

At a guess it's probably one of the NYCHA project precincts at the far east of the East Village that is mostly Hispanic and in her Council district.

Ah that makes sense.

Another interesting precinct is the Seaport precinct in Lower Manhattan where Jones is winning despite doing dreadful in neighboring precincts.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #81 on: August 23, 2022, 09:08:54 PM »


Up to almost exactly 1000 now, it seem like most of the Dump came from Manhattan though. I think this will be a Manhattan-Brooklyn battle with Goldman favored.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #82 on: August 23, 2022, 09:17:04 PM »

Jimmy Li may end up being a spoiler for Niou. He's doing remarkably well in a few heavily Asian South Brooklyn precincts that likely would've otherwise went to Niou
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #83 on: August 23, 2022, 09:22:28 PM »

Jimmy Li may end up being a spoiler for Niou. He's doing remarkably well in a few heavily Asian South Brooklyn precincts that likely would've otherwise went to Niou

His total vote count is less than Goldman’s current lead over Niou.

Yes but the race could narrow and if Niou loses by like 100 votes or something insanely close yk.

Anyways NY-10 seems like it's done counting votes for tonight so RIP.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #84 on: August 23, 2022, 10:35:13 PM »

More votes dropped in NY-10, Goldman now up to a roughly 1250-vote lead. 93% in, or so it says.

Now actually feeling better about an outright win by Goldman.

Also, there's only like <30k votes in NY-17 and it's almost done? This was a contested race too! Yikes

It seems like all the remaining vote is from Brooklyn. Depending upon what vote it is, it could keep Niou competative. I'd say strong Lean Goldman.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #85 on: August 23, 2022, 10:54:13 PM »

Dan Goldman has declared victory.

IMO while he is clearly favored, he isn't completely out of the woods.
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« Reply #86 on: August 24, 2022, 01:48:04 AM »

Anyone else find it funny both Dems for OK Sen have the last name Horn?
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