If Biden wins in 2020, how will 2022 midterms look like?

[ProgressiveModerate]

1998, house flips, but PV isn't a 10 point margin like 2018. It'll be an R wave year, but the Rs won't have too many targets, so it'll be anything from R+3 to D+1 in the senate, but it won't be like when Rs gain 5-10 senate seats in a midterm

[ProgressiveModerate]

OH, WI looks winnable, any Dem can win in WI in an open seat and Tim Ryan will get full backing from Biden to challenge Portman.

Toomey, Burr, Hassan and Kelly will face competetive,  but will easily win

D+2

PLEASE STO TREATING TIM RYAN LIKE THIS BELOVED POLITICIAN IN OH! If he runs, I gurentee you he'll lose to Portman in 2022, it wont be close.

[ProgressiveModerate]

A lot depends on if Biden has both houses of Congress. If he does then he’ll set the right on fire because he will make actual change (kinda counter productive, eh?)

If Biden’s first 2 years have a D senate and D house:
Dems flip PA, GOP flips AZ
Dems lose 15 House seats, maintain slim majority

If Biden’s first 2 years have a R senate and D House:
Dems +2, Dems flip PA & WI.
Dems lose 1-5 House Seats

Never underestimate the GOP in wave years. The house will partially depend upon redistricting, and I expect we see a map even more scewed in favor of the GOP, and Dems will lose a lot of seats in the house because many of their incumbency advantages will be distorted. The senate won't be bad for Ds no matter what. The only real GOP pickup opprotunities are NV, NH, AZ (if Kelly wins) and GA(S) if Dems somehow win the runoff. Dems could pick up PA if Wolf runs, but after that, i don't see how they will pick up WI in an R wave year, even if it's a more modest one. NC maybe could be a pikcup if Hagan runs. GA won't flip. The senate could be anything from R+3 to D+1 depending upon how big a wave 2022 is

[ProgressiveModerate]

NC maybe could be a [pickup] if Hagan runs

Um, I don't know how to tell you this.... but...

She won by over 8 points in 2008 and outperformed Obama. She barely lost in 2014, only by 1 point, despite the R wave. She's a pretty good canidate. If she were to run against Tillis in 2020, the race would be tilt if not lean D

[ProgressiveModerate]

NC maybe could be a [pickup] if Hagan runs

Um, I don't know how to tell you this.... but...

She won by over 8 points in 2008 and outperformed Obama. She barely lost in 2014, only by 1 point, despite the R wave. She's a pretty good canidate. If she were to run against Tillis in 2020, the race would be tilt if not lean D

She's dead.

Just because she hasn't been politically active for 6 years doesn't means he would be a good canidate if she came back into the public spotlight. She would be more than just a Bresden. Don't underestimaete her and call her "dead" just because she has been absent for a few years.

[ProgressiveModerate]

NC maybe could be a [pickup] if Hagan runs

Um, I don't know how to tell you this.... but...

She won by over 8 points in 2008 and outperformed Obama. She barely lost in 2014, only by 1 point, despite the R wave. She's a pretty good canidate. If she were to run against Tillis in 2020, the race would be tilt if not lean D

She's dead.

Just because she hasn't been politically active for 6 years doesn't means he would be a good canidate if she came back into the public spotlight. She would be more than just a Bresden. Don't underestimaete her and call her "dead" just because she has been absent for a few years.

She literally died last October of a virus that she got from a tick bite. https://www.politico.com/news/2019/10/28/former-north-carolina-senator-kay-hagan-dies-060172

Oh I didn't realize she actually died that was embarrasing. She was such a great senator though.

[ProgressiveModerate]

This would be my mao for the senate:

As for the house I'll say lean R but there a lot of unknowns because of redistricting