Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[Babylon]

There is definitely a "Rally around the flag" effect going on. But as even Monmouth notes:

Trump has cast himself as a wartime president, but the small increase in his current job rating falls far short of the ‘rally round the flag’ effect past presidents have experienced,” said Murray. For example, George W. Bush’s job rating jumped nearly 30 points after 9/11 and John F. Kennedy’s approvals went up by about 10 points during the Cuban Missile Crisis.

I think we'll probably see a few high quality, live interview pollsters come out and show Trump with even or positive approval ratings in the coming week. But with the economy collapsing and Trump desperately itching to pull the trigger on ending the quarantines, I cant see how his numbers stay inflated.

[Babylon]

This is so depressing. Our country of civically unaware ignoramuses will truly be the death of everything our nation ever claimed to have stood for.

If I had to guess, democrats will probably be seeing some painful poll numbers in the coming weeks(as I mentioned). However the sheer scale of this crisis is still unknown and it's far too early to grade Trump's performance or the public's overall perception of it.

I guess the most apt comparison in my lifetime would be when Obama entered the White House in 2009. We were in a time of economic crisis, not unlike what we are dealing with now. Obama was the beneficiary of the "Rally around the Flag" effect. After his inauguration, he had a net approval rating of +40%. Yes, some of that was his honeymoon phase, but that net approval of +40% was more than double that of Bill Clinton and W. Bush when they first entered office. Anyway, his numbers gradually declined over 2009 for the very reason that he couldn't snap his fingers and fix the economic crisis(with some fearmongering on the right about The Affordable Care Act added in for good measure). Obama was barely above water in January of 2010.

While its not an apples to apples comparison(less time but Trump's bump is much smaller), I do believe that if this crisis lingers, the rally effect currently helping Trump will not last until the election. Even if Trump is not responsible for it, history tell us that the American people will start blaming him for the sole reason that he cant snap his fingers and fix everything.

I don't pertain to know whats going to happen, but I can hazard a guess that if this crisis lasts until November, Trump may very well be the underdog.

[Babylon]

Guys, its gonna be a cruel few weeks for democrats in terms of polling, without question. Whether it continues is still an open question.

History tells us it won't.

[Babylon]

Guys, its gonna be a cruel few weeks for democrats in terms of polling, without question. Whether it continues is still an open question.

History tells us it won't.

Generally, I would agree, but we also have to recognize the unprecedented moment we are in right now. I do NOT think it would be wise to extrapolate previous circumstances, however similar in appearance, to this.

While pandemics are unprecedented, economic crises are not.

[Babylon]

I’m not so sure that this can just be chalked up to a rally effect. Does half this country even agree that there is a crisis to rally around? Does anyone really think people on the East and West coasts are rallying around a guy basically absolving himself of all responsibility and leaving them to their own devices?

Moreover, I thought that "rally around the flag" usually happens because nations unites, that is President is praised by both parties and, of course, by MS, no???
Now the opposite happens.

One could speculate that thats why Trump's boost is so muted compared to other historical rallies.