Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[Hope For A New Era]

RIP Wexton

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1590061708152041473?s=46&t=JKmlrsu...

But does that include early vote?

I assume it's just EDay vote. He said "today," so bad choice of words on his part if that's not the case.

[Hope For A New Era]

This is as far as I go. I'm unplugging from election for the night. I tried as long as I could, but I no longer feel that I can go on.

See you on the other side.

[Hope For A New Era]

This is as far as I go. I'm unplugging from election for the night. I tried as long as I could, but I no longer feel that I can go on.

See you on the other side.

Well that's an interesting set of results. Starting to think I shouldn't have left!

[Hope For A New Era]

https://twitter.com/jonathanvswan/status/1590364800668037121?s=20&t=iHwiB1po...

I'm glad they finally get to have the wonderful experience we had in 2016

[Hope For A New Era]

When can we expect the last results from CO-03? I want to see it called already!

[Hope For A New Era]

When can we expect the last results from CO-03? I want to see it called already!

Am I seeing that right - 10% still outstanding or is that old?

I'm not sure about the percentage, but my understanding was that all that's left is a small number of votes in Pueblo. I may be wrong on that.

[Hope For A New Era]

John James is ahead by a razor thin margin in MI-10. Anyone know ehere the remaining votes are?

That one has already been called.

[Hope For A New Era]

https://twitter.com/Data_Orbital/status/1590401917372764160

Wait, what? Why would mail vote be leaning GOP? The early mailed vote drop was literally D+20 in Maricopa

The theory is that the later the mail vote was received, the more Republican it is.  That seemed to be true in 2020, but nobody really knows what this batch will look like until it's been counted.  Behaviors change and 2020 was an unusual year.

I was going to say, I thought the electorate got progressively younger the closer you get to election day? Shouldn't that make it more D?

[Hope For A New Era]

Also, if it hasn't been mentioned, the massive NH State House looks to be coming down to the wire with potential recounts that actually could matter since the seats are so small. See https://twitter.com/nhpol603

Add it to the long list of chambers where crucial benchmarks seem to be just barely met:  Both MI, Both NV, Both MN, PA House, both AZ, and several where GOP supermajority thresholds were denied.

AZ?

[Hope For A New Era]

Were there any incumbents that lost for non-redistricting reasons? I guess Boebert is the main one? It's really funny how well incumbents did this year, considering the economy and how bad the "wrong track" numbers are.

This is particularly noticeable with governors. DeWine landsliding, Reynolds outperforming Grassley(!), DeSantis landslide, Evers and Whitmer winning by more than 2018, McMaster landslide, Polis landslide, Kelly (KS) surviving...incumbent governors are doing really well, except in New York and probably Nevada.

[Hope For A New Era]

Were there any incumbents that lost for non-redistricting reasons? I guess Boebert is the main one? It's really funny how well incumbents did this year, considering the economy and how bad the "wrong track" numbers are.

This is particularly noticeable with governors. DeWine landsliding, Reynolds outperforming Grassley(!), DeSantis landslide, Evers and Whitmer winning by more than 2018, McMaster landslide, Polis landslide, Kelly (KS) surviving...incumbent governors are doing really well, except in New York and probably Nevada.

Yup, and so far the only the Senate flip has been an open seat. It's just bizarre that the mood in the country seems so awful but everyone is apparently very happy with their politicians!

I kind of wonder if the "negative mood" is at least somewhat illusory.

[Hope For A New Era]

https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1590522946912944128

LMAO the RGV gains were literally just because they liked Trump

I suspect it may have been less Trump specifically and more anti-lockdownism.

[Hope For A New Era]

An historic

Why do people write this?

Stop writing this, it makes no sense

[Hope For A New Era]

That blue shift tho....

https://twitter.com/ethan_wh_/status/1590768805676191744?s=20&t=a-I4YmVa7R4c...

Monongalia was D+9.

[Hope For A New Era]

That blue shift tho....

https://twitter.com/ethan_wh_/status/1590768805676191744?s=20&t=a-I4YmVa7R4c...

Honestly, that’s about the reverse of what I’d expect. I figured the eastern panhandle would shift blue because of its connections to exurban DC.

Doesn't Mooney live there also?

[Hope For A New Era]

Anna Lynn Winfrey apparently saying the drop that gave the 1229 lead was from Gunnison and not Pueblo?

I have no idea what's going on.

[Hope For A New Era]

https://twitter.com/paulsgkim/status/1590851867072135172

wtf

What’s the timetable for results for the remaining outstanding seats?

unknown

[Hope For A New Era]

Apparently all in-person Pueblo ballots are counted. About 3,000 mail-in ballots left in Pueblo. Probably a few other ballots scattered around. I'm not sure if this includes the military/overseas ballots or not.

[Hope For A New Era]

Apparently Colorado SoS is sending new supervisor after the previous supervisor left, something to do with mistakes by county clerk?

Not sure what's happening, but now people on Twitter are theorizing that the vote totals might have been accidentally switched in the Pueblo dump. I'm not sure if they re grasping at straws or not.

[Hope For A New Era]

Okay, still not sure what's going on with the county clerk stuff, but it appears that this is the situation:

- About 3000 left in Pueblo
- Unknown number left elsewhere
- About 1200 military/overseas
- Unknown number of cured ballots

[Hope For A New Era]

i can't wait to make a wordcloud of this thread once it's all over

[Hope For A New Era]

Surprised no one has posted this yet.

A few more votes came in from La Plata, Boebert's lead has been reduced from 1229 to 1136.

[Hope For A New Era]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1590890635950960641

Is this the first county with leaders from both parties in a report?

more importantly, this was a Trump+19 county

[Hope For A New Era]

Damn looks like PA-02 swung back hard left after it swung hard right in 2020. Same with TX-29 and NJ-08 to a lesser degree.

Seems to be a theme of some of these heavily urban Hispanic seats where Biden underperformed swinging back left, probably due to lower turnout.

G.Eliott noted on Twitter that white college & hispanic areas saw some of the biggest swings to Ds this year from 2020. Looks like the Hispanic/Trump thing was an aberration.

I don't want to get too confident yet, lest ignoring them be a fatal mistake in 2024.

But, it definitely seems like Hispanic incumbent swing + antilockdownism + extreme high turnout weirdness is a powerful and unique combination.

I wonder if Tony Evers won WI-03. Lions like it’d be really close.

Yes he did, he won it by 1,487 votes or 0.47%.

And yes I've been working on the math here for the last couple hours.

Of course he did.

Kind would have won. Trump won his district in 2020 while he still won.

[Hope For A New Era]

So wait...this means that ignoring his predictions on house races, Ralston was actually correct.

Of course he was, he's Ralston.