For fun: 2012... (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 06, 2024, 06:13:05 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  For fun: 2012... (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: For fun: 2012...  (Read 11438 times)
classical liberal
RightWingNut
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,758


Political Matrix
E: 9.35, S: -8.26

« on: March 13, 2004, 12:20:48 PM »
« edited: March 13, 2004, 12:22:38 PM by RightWingNut »

2012 will be after the next census.  I think the reapportionment will put the EC like this:
Logged
classical liberal
RightWingNut
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,758


Political Matrix
E: 9.35, S: -8.26

« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2004, 10:12:53 PM »

My modified 2012:

Logged
classical liberal
RightWingNut
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,758


Political Matrix
E: 9.35, S: -8.26

« Reply #2 on: March 14, 2004, 11:15:11 AM »
« Edited: March 14, 2004, 02:18:23 PM by RightWingNut »

My modified 2012:

Logged
classical liberal
RightWingNut
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,758


Political Matrix
E: 9.35, S: -8.26

« Reply #3 on: March 14, 2004, 02:15:31 PM »

The colors are a confidence map.  Dark=string light=lean gray=tossup blue=GOP red=Dem.
Logged
classical liberal
RightWingNut
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,758


Political Matrix
E: 9.35, S: -8.26

« Reply #4 on: March 14, 2004, 02:27:54 PM »

I think that the GOP probably can take TX as well as take MO, MN, IA, WV, GA, NC, FL, and VA but those states won't be guarantied like the Northeast will be or the Dems.
Logged
classical liberal
RightWingNut
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,758


Political Matrix
E: 9.35, S: -8.26

« Reply #5 on: March 14, 2004, 10:29:30 PM »


Well, your map has the following stats:

Strong EVs: Dems 210-Reps 28

Lean EVs: Dems 64-Reps 65

Subtotal: Dems 274-Reps 83

That does seem to give the Dems a slight edge, wouldn't you say? Smiley

Check your math.
Logged
classical liberal
RightWingNut
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,758


Political Matrix
E: 9.35, S: -8.26

« Reply #6 on: March 17, 2004, 06:14:16 PM »

Landrieu and Ford will probably hold vulnerable senate seats by that time.  They would hurt their party more by taking the nomination.  They would probably not accept.
Logged
classical liberal
RightWingNut
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,758


Political Matrix
E: 9.35, S: -8.26

« Reply #7 on: March 17, 2004, 09:40:24 PM »

My modified 2012:

Logged
classical liberal
RightWingNut
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,758


Political Matrix
E: 9.35, S: -8.26

« Reply #8 on: March 17, 2004, 10:09:21 PM »

I would point out that rich individuals only pay what they choose to in taxes, and use tax shelters for everything else.  Donald Trump is pro-tax and thus pays tax on all $100000000 some he makes a year.  Bill Gates on the other hand is moderately anti-tax and therefore only pays tax on $500000, .05% of what Trump pays tax on even though Gates makes the same if not more than Trump.  Also, corporations only pay tax on profit so excess funds being directed at investment and R&D is encouraged.  You're right about he social issues though.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.027 seconds with 11 queries.