Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,605
Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57
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« on: October 26, 2023, 07:29:21 PM » |
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« edited: February 28, 2024, 02:19:50 PM by Real Texan Politics »
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As some of you may have heard by now, Democrat Jeff Jackson of North Carolina's 14th Congressional District decided to drop out after North Carolina's redistricting, and decided to run for Attorney General of the state, where he will almost certainly be the Democrat nominee.
On the other hand, Republicans look to be nominating Dan Bishop of North Carolina's 8th Congressional District for the Attorney General race. Although he could face a slightly more competitive primary if Tim Moore, the Speaker of the North Carolina House decides to run.
Like just about every major statewide race in North Carolina, including the presidential election, this will absolutely be a competitive race. While North Carolina seems to be the most Republican-friendly swing state, Republicans have not won an AG race in the state since 1896 (there have been two Republican AGs since then, but both were appointed rather than elected). Along with that, Jeff Jackson has a large following on TikTok and Instagram, which will very likely give him a big boost with young voters (similarly to Beto O'Rourke in Texas), which could be enough to swing the election in Jackson's favor, especially in a high turnout presidential year.
Will Jeff Jackson's youth grassroots appeal give him the edge in the race, or will increased polarization cause Republicans to have an upset 128 years in the making?
My current rating: Tossup/Tilt R (Bishop)
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