Texas megathread

[Real Texan Politics]

I could see him having a decent shot at winning unless someone like one of the Castro brothers or Beto runs against him.

[Real Texan Politics]

I could see him having a decent shot at winning unless someone like one of the Castro brothers or Beto runs against him.

HELL YES, WE'RE GONNA TAKE YOUR AR-15 AND DESTROY THE DEMOCRAT'S CHANCES OF WINNING TEXAS!

Didn't say Abbott would lose against him, although if Beto's popular enough among young progressives (even with the AR-15 ban) then he'd probably have a good chance in the suburbs of the major cities. Swing areas like Corpus Christi and Beaumont on the other hand...probably not so much.

[Real Texan Politics]

O'Rourke's profile has been popping up again and again with the current power grid crisis. He'll likely declare soon.

Certainly possible. If this crisis is still in the back of many voters' minds, and Abbott suffers quite a bit in his approval rating, there's a potential for Abbott to severely underperform.

Though I expect democrats to spend a crap ton of money here and lose embarassingly in the end, even with Beto. That's just how it goes.

[Real Texan Politics]

Might as well convert this into a general TX 2022 Elections megathread or else it's just gonna be circular discussions on how Dems have no chance against Abbott and complete shock-and-awe when Abbott eventually wins (B I D E N M I D T E R M and all)

I made a megathread already: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=427051.0

[Real Texan Politics]

Abbott is still on track to win, but this will likely end up being the closest gubernatorial election in Texas since 2006. If this were a Trump midterm, Abbott would likely be toast.

Abbott would still win even if Trump was re-elected, but maybe by a margin of like 6% rather than 10-15.