St Patrick's Day (Mar 17) Election Results Thread

[n1240]

Posted this in rescheduled contests as well.

https://twitter.com/NYTnickc/status/1239627149415526405

[n1240]

https://twitter.com/ZachMontellaro/status/1239691548041916423

[n1240]

Not sure if Florida early vote stats have been discussed much on the forum, but current state of the early vote:

https://countyballotfiles.elections.myflorida.com/FVRSCountyBallotReports/AbsenteeEarlyVotingReports/PublicStats

632453 VBM and 438326 Early vote ballots have been received on the Dem side, for a total of about 1.07 million Democratic ballots cast thus far.

Compared to 2016, 520035 VBM and 369172 Early votes were cast on the Dem side, for a total of 890k Democratic ballots cast before election day. 1.7 million votes were counted in total in the 2016 Democratic primary.

Early/VBM vote count has increased in most counties, with exception to a few small, rural counties. Among Democratic voters, St. Johns has the highest relative increase from 2016 with 1.73x more ballots cast before election day than 2016. Among the larger counties in the state, Broward county has 1.10x more ballots cast, Hillsborough has 1.27x more ballots cast, Orange has 1.19x more ballots cast, Pinellas has about the same as 2016, Palm Beach has 1.52x more ballots cast, and Miami-Dade has 1.06x more ballots cast.

[n1240]

If anyone has any info on whether we'll be getting any exit polls tomorrow, please post.  Under normal circumstances, we would get them, but with coronavirus mayhem it seems possible that we won't.

No exit polls tomorrow

Source?

https://www.edisonresearch.com/statement-from-the-national-election-pool-regarding-march-17th-elections/

[n1240]

Broward County early/vbm

Biden 63.3%
Sanders 17.5%
Bloomberg 12.3%

115894 votes

[n1240]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1240059450007977987

That's way off, it won't break 2 million based on what I've seen following turnout in multiple counties

[n1240]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1240059450007977987

That's way off, it won't break 2 million based on what I've seen following turnout in multiple counties

Uhh what have YOU seen?

Turnout is slightly down in Palm Beach relative to 2016 (about 97%), down in Duval (95%), probably down in Broward (92%). Tampa area is about 110% higher but not enough to get this to 2 million.

[n1240]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1240059450007977987

That's way off, it won't break 2 million based on what I've seen following turnout in multiple counties

Uhh what have YOU seen?

Turnout is slightly down in Palm Beach relative to 2016 (about 97%), down in Duval (95%), probably down in Broward (92%). Tampa area is about 110% higher but not enough to get this to 2 million.

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1240061232289366016

[n1240]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1240059450007977987

That's way off, it won't break 2 million based on what I've seen following turnout in multiple counties

Uhh what have YOU seen?

Turnout is slightly down in Palm Beach relative to 2016 (about 97%), down in Duval (95%), probably down in Broward (92%). Tampa area is about 110% higher but not enough to get this to 2 million.

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1240061232289366016

I really don’t think DDH will be off by half a million.

If you can find multiple fully reporting counties with 132% turnout of 2016, let me know.

[n1240]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1240068320642113536

A more realistic prediction.

Still think it's too high personally, probably landing around 1.8 million

[n1240]

Biden+11.5 in Maricopa