UK General Election 2019 - Election Day and Results Thread (user search)
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  UK General Election 2019 - Election Day and Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: UK General Election 2019 - Election Day and Results Thread  (Read 75970 times)
n1240
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« on: December 12, 2019, 08:04:23 PM »

The results coming in don’t show at all what exit polls did

How can you even gauge this after 11/632 seats reporting? 9 of the seats that reported were safe seats per the exit poll, Blyth Valley was a lean Tory seat that went Tory, and Sunderland Central was a lean Labour seat that went Labour.
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n1240
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« Reply #1 on: December 12, 2019, 09:09:29 PM »

I didn't check before the result came in: does anybody know what odds the BBC gave for Leigh going down? It certainly wasn't on the 'likely' list.

50/50, I wrote that all of the probabilities for the too close to call seats a couple hours ago
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n1240
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« Reply #2 on: December 12, 2019, 09:21:56 PM »

Hartlepool held by Labour with considerable majority despite exit poll giving Tories 51% chance to win.

Bury North and Bury South both reportedly heading towards recounts, both too close to call seats.
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n1240
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« Reply #3 on: December 12, 2019, 10:21:37 PM »

Con hold Moray, first non-SNP seat in Scotland

That's a shock, exit poll gave 99% of SNP gain.
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