Brazilian presidential and general elections 2022 (1st round: October 2nd, 2nd round: October 30th)

[Mexican Wolf]

So the Globo map is just never going to work huh

Works for me great.  Might have to do with which browser you are using.

It wasn't showing up for me earlier, but now it's working fine on Chrome.

[Mexican Wolf]

Minas Gerais just flipped from a narrow Bolsonaro lead to an equally narrow Lula lead on The Guardian.

[Mexican Wolf]

Funnily enough, Bolsonaro is currently leading in the two bellwether states, Minas Gerais and Amazonas. If Lula does end up losing both states, it will be the first time they've voted for a loser since the redemocratization of Brazil in the 80's (assuming he wins the presidential election, of course, and that seems likely).

Lula really has to thank the people from the northeast for giving him some Saddam Hussein-like margins there.

Amazonas zoomed left in the late count in the first round, and is rapidly moving that way once again, so I expect Lula narrowly wins there in the end.

how much is left to count there?

Looks like about 8% to go according to Bloomberg. Bolsonaro leads by 1,000 votes.

[Mexican Wolf]

Funnily enough, Bolsonaro is currently leading in the two bellwether states, Minas Gerais and Amazonas. If Lula does end up losing both states, it will be the first time they've voted for a loser since the redemocratization of Brazil in the 80's (assuming he wins the presidential election, of course, and that seems likely).

Lula really has to thank the people from the northeast for giving him some Saddam Hussein-like margins there.

Amazonas zoomed left in the late count in the first round, and is rapidly moving that way once again, so I expect Lula narrowly wins there in the end.

how much is left to count there?

Looks like about 8% to go according to Bloomberg. Bolsonaro leads by 1,000 votes.

with a margin like that it probably flips.

Just did!

[Mexican Wolf]

Let's go Squid!

[Mexican Wolf]

Let's go Squid!

I un-recommended this just so that I could recommend it twice.
(btw, Lula is "squid" in portuguese. I suspect you know that, just saying that for the benefit of everyone else)

I only found that out because my Google translator kept changing Lula to Squid when I went on the Globo site haha.