Lean yes.
He is favored for sure.
WHY?
HOW?
Is it really too much to ask you to back up this incessant claim with actual data?
Early Vote data in Florida is the key.
We are seeing the Dem lead shrink rapidly. Keep in mind this is despite the fact that Early voting has been far more politicized.
It just appears that the GOP is very motivated at this point, and this is despite the partisan divide over early voting.
At a certain point, it stops becoming mere ignorance and transforms into WILLFUL ignorance, i.e. stupidity.
You've been told over and over again why this is BS. It has been clearly and painstakingly explained to you repeatedly. You never have had any sort of rebuttal, because of course there isn't one. You never have been able to explain why even if what you think about Florida is true, your conclusion that Trump will win by eking out Michigan despite losing Wisconsin and Pennsylvania logically follows from that premise. You just keep repeating these things over and over again with absolutely nothing to back them up, spitting in the face of reason and flipping off everyone who tries to talk sense to you. It's like trying to reason with the world's most stubborn concrete wall.
Your act has grown beyond tiresome. It's not funny anymore, it's just f--king stupid and annoying, and I can't wait until you are humiliated beyond belief on election night.