MS Megathread: Hyde-Smith wins by 8

[The Mikado]

Presumably McDaniel moves into this race and Wicker walks.

[The Mikado]

It's not reality. It's also a bad look for everyone to stereotype MS so badly that every white person there is a racist and this is helping her.

Like... have you been to Mississippi? LOL. You will be hard pressed to find any white people in Mississippi that think Jefferson Davis is a bad person. That's a problem.

Hyde-Smith will comfortably carry the white vote by 70 points and don't expect #moderate #sensible white women to save Espy either. They have vested interest in keeping white supremacy strong in the South. Who do yall think raised the white men who are about to give Hyde-Smith 90 percent of their vote? LOL.

Hyde-Smith winning the white vote by 70 (85-15) would lead to a 56-44 race, or a 12 point win. Pretty damned unimpressive for Mississippi.

[The Mikado]

Hyde-Smith will win by close to 20 points in the end. Her victory is inevitable.

Hmm...

Want an avatar bet on that margin? Setting the over-under at 15 points. If she wins under 15, you have to change your avatar to whatever I want for a month, if she wins by over 15, I have to change my avatar to whatever you want for a month. Reasonable?

(Posting this because "Hyde-Smith will win by 20" is way, way off-base)

[The Mikado]

I'm thinking 55-45, give or take two points. Hyde-Smith will underperform due to general lack of interest in the race plus heightened black turnout, but "underperform" in the sense that she might win by 11 rather than 16.