MS Megathread: Hyde-Smith wins by 8

[The Mikado]

Presumably McDaniel moves into this race and Wicker walks.

[Holmes]

Presumably McDaniel moves into this race and Wicker walks.

I think so too.

[OneJ]

Presumably McDaniel moves into this race and Wicker walks.

I think so too.

Same.

[KingSweden]

Presumably McDaniel moves into this race and Wicker walks.

I think so too.

[junior chįmp]

2018 is shaping up to be the year of the geriatric exodus

[YE]

Aren't MS special elections non-partisan?

[Holmes]

Aren't MS special elections non-partisan?

Yes, I believe there would be no party on the ballot for this special (but everyone will know Presley is the Dem and McDaniels is the Repub).

[Landslide Lyndon]

Aren't MS special elections non-partisan?

I think that's for state elections. Federal elections are not.

[Holmes]

Aren't MS special elections non-partisan?

I think that's for state elections. Federal elections are not.

The 2008 special was non-partisan. 

[syntaxerror]

Might be looking at a double-barrel senate election.

Presley and Mabus both on the Dem ticket? Formidable.

If only the gubernatorial election was in 2018 too; Hood, Presley and Mabus together.

[CrimsonTide]

I think this could mean Jim Hood 2020 (not for President). If he doesn't run against Wicker this year, I think he should try against the Tea-Party, Trump Sycophant that the MSGOP replaces Cochran with. (McDaniel?)

[syntaxerror]

I think this could mean Jim Hood 2020 (not for President). If he doesn't run against Wicker this year, I think he should try against the Tea-Party, Trump Sycophant that the MSGOP replaces Cochran with. (McDaniel?)

Hood seems more eager to go for Governor than Senate.

[Rookie Yinzer]

A hypothetical Sen. Presley would immediately up for re-election during a presidential year?

[Holmes]

A hypothetical Sen. Presley would immediately up for re-election during a presidential year?

If he could do it in 2018, he can do it again two years later if 2020 is another bad year for Republicans and a Democrat wins the White House.

[Virginiá]

A hypothetical Sen. Presley would immediately up for re-election during a presidential year?

If he could do it in 2018, he can do it again two years later if 2020 is another bad year for Republicans and a Democrat wins the White House.

If Democrats were poised to repeat 2006-2008 and possibly wash Trump out of office by an even bigger margin, I'd say Democrats would have an better-than-even shot at holding Alabama and/or Mississippi. They would have the power of incumbency and a significantly anti-Republican environment to run in.

But if it were more neutral or Trump won, they'd likely lose, imo.

[Holmes]

I think two Senate elections could harm Presley here. It would drive up GOP turnout, no? Whatever seat he doesn't run for is going to be an R landslide.

Agreed. Which is maybe why Wicker being unopposed could be a net positive? No one would turn out for him or his race. All attention would be on the special.

[Doimper]

I think two Senate elections could harm Presley here. It would drive up GOP turnout, no? Whatever seat he doesn't run for is going to be an R landslide.

It could just as easily go the other way, couldn't it? Maybe a McDaniel v. Presley race could drive down turnout for Wicker, even if it won't be enough for his opponent to win.

[Pollster]

State Sen. Deborah Jeanne Dawkins should run for whichever seat Presley does not run for. She is to the left of the state but represents a right-leaning district outside of the metro area and has won three tough races with strong fundraising.

[Former Kentuckian]

2018 is shaping up to be the year of the geriatric exodus

I wish more would leave

[syntaxerror]

State Sen. Deborah Jeanne Dawkins should run for whichever seat Presley does not run for. She is to the left of the state but represents a right-leaning district outside of the metro area and has won three tough races with strong fundraising.

surely Mabus, if not Hood, would be better.

[Bidenworth2020]

https://www.politico.com/story/2017/12/21/mississippi-senate-thad-cochran-future-in-doubt-308157

[KingSweden]

State Sen. Deborah Jeanne Dawkins should run for whichever seat Presley does not run for. She is to the left of the state but represents a right-leaning district outside of the metro area and has won three tough races with strong fundraising.

surely Mabus, if not Hood, would be better.

Mabus was unpopular 30 years ago when MS Dems we’re still dominant. He’s also very old.

[Dr. MB]

I'm predicting a Democratic majority in 2018. I think the Dem will win both Nevada and Arizona and at least one out of Mississippi special, Tennessee, and Texas, plus maybe Arizona special if that happens.

[Pollster]

State Sen. Deborah Jeanne Dawkins should run for whichever seat Presley does not run for. She is to the left of the state but represents a right-leaning district outside of the metro area and has won three tough races with strong fundraising.

surely Mabus, if not Hood, would be better.

Mabus would be easily tied to the Obama admin. Against McDaniel or somebody similar he would likely win but against Wicker or a different clean R he would not be the ideal candidate.

Hood I understand is far more interested in the governorship.

Dawkins appears to have experience winning over the right-leaning voters she would need to win statewide. Her State Senate district overlaps with multiple State House districts that are represented by R's, I can't find 2016 results by state Senate district but the county she is within voted for Trump 64-33 and the National Voter File estimates that the district is 40-33-27 R-D-I.

[smoltchanov]

State Sen. Deborah Jeanne Dawkins should run for whichever seat Presley does not run for. She is to the left of the state but represents a right-leaning district outside of the metro area and has won three tough races with strong fundraising.

THE most liberal white state Senator in Mississippi, and one of the most liberal overall? Well, i have doubts...