Australia General Discussion 4.0: It ain’t easy under Albanese

[CumbrianLefty]

This is interesting. According to the latest Roy Morgan poll, Labor has upped the lead on 2PP while close the gap on primary votes. According to them, Albanese would be returned as Prime Minister with an increased majority.

https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9476-federal-voting-intention-march-4-2024?s=09

Just goes to show that a few months can be a lifetime in politics. Not that long ago, Dutton was on a high, convinced that he was cruising, and now it's come crashing back to Earth.

So basically we had a blip around the referendum (which Albanese inevitably took some flak for, even if it was never really his baby) and now that has worn off, things are much as they were before?

[CumbrianLefty]

And some other polling being better for the coalition doesn't really alter my statement.

[CumbrianLefty]

Tasmania likely to remain in the right's control, but it was closer than many expected and has to count as yet another underwhelming result for them.

[CumbrianLefty]

I don’t know if the old truism about independents will really apply to Teals though. They are incredibly ideologically fixed and don’t have that local pragmatism. We’ve also seen at the NSW and Victorian state elections that both parties are quickly adapting to fighting them off.

I’d bet that when the Coalition sweeps back into power (which ain’t happening under Dutton, let’s be real) all the teals will be swept up and tied to their track record of ideological stances that diametrically oppose their electorates. And for all the talk a grand ideological shift - as a voter in a teal seat there was only one issue that worked. Climate. Once the Federal Coalition gets over the climate debate the teals lose their purpose.

Yes, but when will that actually happen?  If anything, climate change denial seems to be becoming *more* popular amongst much of the right rather than less.

[CumbrianLefty]

Labor seems likely to lose the next election based on the current numbers.

But recent actual election results were, mostly, somewhat underwhelming for the right. Are we going to see a similar trend as in the US for the last few years here?

[CumbrianLefty]

Pauline wants a bit of backbone.

Alice Springs

https://www.instagram.com/reel/C5HTAPESSKa/

Who cares about what a nasty has been wants?

[CumbrianLefty]

Certain people are discarded like a used rag as soon as they cease to be "useful".

To an extent it was always thus, but the modern right wing media has turned it into a fine art.

[CumbrianLefty]

The mind boggles at how biscuit tins have become part of the "woke culture wars".

[CumbrianLefty]

When is the election due there?

[CumbrianLefty]

So we have until then to enjoy those maps of all the Oz mainland coloured red

[CumbrianLefty]

Ah right, didn't know that they were in trouble there.