French presidential election, 2022

[Walmart_shopper]

“France First” - Le Pen against sanctioning Russia because of the economic setbacks it brings to France. I think she really could pull this off if she focus on that message of internal economic well-being interest and purchasing power.

Le Pen against sanctions on Russia over French interests

French Presidential candidate Marine Le Pen stresses that she is against imposing sanctions on Russian raw materials, gas, and oil due to the ramifications it would have on the French economy.

Its disgusting but the French love this kind of thing.

[Walmart_shopper]

The turnout drop seems fairly consistent--it doesn't seem to be particularly beneficial or detrimental for any one candidate. Many of the 2017 Macron departments are down; many of the 2017 LePen departments are seeing a turnout dip (some by a lot). Two of the the three mainland departments (Dordogne and Ariège) that Melanchon won in 2017 are actually in good shape in terms of turnout, but I wouldn't read too much into that just yet.

I still think the gap between the top three candidates will be surprisingly narrow, and I wouldn't be surprised if Melanchon manages to leapfrog LePen for #2. Maybe something like Macron 24% Melanchon 22% LePen 21%.

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Is the poll leaked to La Libre legitimate?

The Belgians don't get much right. But they do get chocolate and polling right. So take that for what it's worth.

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The only ones that seems charismatic at all of the bigger countries  is that Mexican commie and that guy who hates white people (and probably black people). The only popular-ish big country leader is Draghi, which is good but unexpected.

Okay, maybe we should ban US posters from the international boards.

AMLO is a megalomaniacal autocrat who sold his brand of crypto socialism as a mask for a naked grab for political power. If only he spent as much time healing Mexico as he spends wining about everything bad ever in Mexican history.

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I'm getting nervous, probably irresponsible based on the information out there but still sweating

Kind of Brexit/Trump 2016 vibes, honestly. I don't think the French are as dumb as Americans and Britons but the pandemic has thrown global politics into sufficient doubt that it wouldn't be a huge shock if LePen pulled it out.