Who wins each chamber in Virginia? (user search)
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  Who wins each chamber in Virginia? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Who wins each chamber in Virginia?
#1
Republicans win both
 
#2
Republicans hold the House, Democrats hold the Senate
 
#3
Democrats flip the House, Republicans flip the Senate
 
#4
Democrats win both
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 42

Author Topic: Who wins each chamber in Virginia?  (Read 898 times)
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 36,667
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« on: September 14, 2023, 10:06:32 AM »

Other: Senate 21D/19R (somewhat surprisingly, they lose the Loudoun Youngkin seat but win the Williamsburg Youngkin seat), HoD tied 50D/50R with no provision to break the deadlock (would have been a Dem majority without the Henrico district sex scandal).  Dramatically reduced margins in eastern Prince William and eastern Loudoun.  Perhaps a Dem only wins a Biden +25 district by 10?

That’s probably the most likely thing.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,667
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2023, 10:27:19 AM »

Other: Senate 21D/19R (somewhat surprisingly, they lose the Loudoun Youngkin seat but win the Williamsburg Youngkin seat), HoD tied 50D/50R with no provision to break the deadlock (would have been a Dem majority without the Henrico district sex scandal).  Dramatically reduced margins in eastern Prince William and eastern Loudoun.  Perhaps a Dem only wins a Biden +25 district by 10?



That’s probably the most likely thing.

Do you not see Democrats get above 50 seats?

Something that would indicate a R+3 to D+1 environment? My guess is that they win everything Biden+6-7 and above or under Youngkin+3-4. What does that get us?
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,667
United States


« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2023, 11:48:00 AM »

Other: Senate 21D/19R (somewhat surprisingly, they lose the Loudoun Youngkin seat but win the Williamsburg Youngkin seat), HoD tied 50D/50R with no provision to break the deadlock (would have been a Dem majority without the Henrico district sex scandal).  Dramatically reduced margins in eastern Prince William and eastern Loudoun.  Perhaps a Dem only wins a Biden +25 district by 10?



That’s probably the most likely thing.

Do you not see Democrats get above 50 seats?

Something that would indicate a R+3 to D+1 environment? My guess is that they win everything Biden+6-7 and above or under Youngkin+3-4. What does that get us?

Gets them to 52 in the HOD and 23 in the Senate (I think they lose SD-17 and get only 22).

So an R sweep would PROBABLY require an encore performance by Republicans.
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