LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term

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Surprised that Landreau is getting less than 1% of the vote.

I’m not complaining.

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With 25% in I'd say JBE is well positioned to get 50%, but its far from certain or likely-yet.

31% in now (NYT)

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NYT is just playing catch-up to the SOS site it seems.
Bel is holding steady at 46% with a decent amount of New Orleans ready to go.

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Bel drops below 46% and is at 45.7%. Orleans, Jefferson and East Baton Rouge parishes still have less then half of their precincts reporting though.

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NYT is just playing catch-up to the SOS site it seems.
Bel is holding steady at 46% with a decent amount of New Orleans ready to go.

JBE has to be optimistic right now. Of the three real Dem parishes in the state:  Caddo, EBR, and Orleans, only EBR is keeping pace with the states count. Caddo has no EV and barely and precincts, and Orleans has few precincts. And while EBR has a lot of precincts, it's mostly the more mixed East/Southeast - very little of the Uber-blue urban core.

Absolutely, it looks like almost half of the vote is in and he’s holding just short of a majority with most of his strongpoints still ready to dump.

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JBE is moving back up (now at 46.1%). The cause seems to be a drop of NO Precincts and a handful of Jefferson precincts. Both parishes still have a lot more of their precincts to go.

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JBE is moving back up (now at 46.1%). The cause seems to be a drop of NO Precincts and a handful of Jefferson precincts. Both parishes still have a lot more of their precincts to go.

And as I post this, Rispone carries Livingstone Parish and drops JBE below 46% again.

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Looks like a runoff, now what will matter is what the end result will be for JBE. I’d feel more optimistic about this race if he can at least get to 47%.

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How can it be so close? Edwards is pro-life

Yeah, honestly that surprised me. Edwards took a lot of flak for his pro-life positions yet it doesn’t seem to have made a difference at all.

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I think people are jumping the gun here. 2015 saw the GOP carry 57% of the vote and JBE still carried out a sizable win.

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https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1183217204927651840?s=19
The LA GOP is a few seats short of a supermajority.

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I hope that what the Democrats take from this is that the next Democratic President should 100% hold rallies in off-year elections. There is no real downside.

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https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1183219098911682561 Where did he get 66% from?

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https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1183218241939955712?s=20

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Interesting results ...

Looks like the Democratic vote will end up at 48% after all the missing precincts are in.

That’s up from 42% in 2015, when he ended up winning the runoff with 56%.

JBE needs to convince ca. 4-6% of those who voted R today to vote for him in the runoff.

Looks like it’ll end up at 47% and that’s being generous.